Promise of value

PUBLISHED: 08 July 2016

greg ennion

Justin Snaith and Richard Fourie team up for all eight races at Kenilworth tomorrow.  There is no formal agreement – as there was in the heady Legislate days – but the combination have a number of good chances.

The best is probably Glorious Goodwood in the last but they start off with two forecast favourites and Pride Rock has obvious claims in the opening Maiden Juvenile. However his outside draw is a major negative.

Pure Logic comes into it and Fire In The Belly has an even better chance when his most recent run is best ignored. “Things just didn’t work out for him that day – he is not a 1 200m horse and they went very fast,” says Mike Robinson. “I think he will enjoy this mile.”

Hernando’s Promise is going to start at a decent price – possibly an each way one – and he is suggested as the value bet. He was considered good enough to run in the Langerman and, while he lost valuable ground at the start, he had shown some useful form previously.

Snaith’s Figure Of Grey is forecast odds-on for race two but Sign Your Name has shown more and makes more appeal. Again you have to discount the horse’s last run when she lost a good two lengths after rearing in the pens. “You can put a line through it,” says Greg Ennion (pictured). “It was the day when it rained and she ran green as if she didn’t know what to do.”

Imperial Dancer stands out in race three, he is rated over 4kg clear of the rest and has gone close in his last two. He should win but don’t ignore Stormy City. The Bass horses are in good form and Grant van Niekerk is riding like a man inspired.

Stormy City divided Mega Secret and Hero Quest over this mile at the end of May but blotted his copybook last time, finishing plumb last after being bumped at the off.

“He was then chased up from a seven draw,” recalls Candice Robinson. “He will win soon but he needs things to go his way.”

Prudence Prevails is expected to start favourite to come good at the 13th attempt in the Quinte Plus Maiden but you would expect at least one of the three two-year-olds (all are from top stables) to beat her despite their being 4kg worse than weight-for-age. Colorado Rose is selected even though she has been absent since March and has to overcome a ten draw.

Michael Clower