David Thiselton
THE Vaal stages a low key meeting today before the Highveld’s Autumn feature season begins on Saturday at Turffontein with the always awaited Guineas meeting.
A MR 94 handicap over 1000m and a Pinnacle Stakes event over 1500m are the two highest rated events today.
In the former the Paul Peter-trained Willow Magic gelding Godswood makes most appeal. This horse has clearly been rated since day one as he attracted betting support in all of his maiden starts including on debut. Nothing much went his way in those early races and he was also becoming a bit heavy due to haemoconcentrating. He had the necessary gelding and since then has not looked back. In his first run as a gelding he finished unplaced in a strong 1160m event won by the promising Bartholdi. He has since run twice over 1000m and won by 2,50 lengths and 2,75 lengths respectively. In his last start he strode out well just off the pace and quickened well and won with a bit in hand. He looks to be on the up so could overhaul the speedy Valyrian King close to home. The latter has blitzed them in his last two starts and is four points higher in the ratings. Godswood, on the other hand has to overcome a six point raise, but is given the nod on the basis that he has not had as much time to establish himself as Valyrian King so could still be ahead of the handicapper. The pair might be vulnerable late in the race to Spanish Boy, who proved he had a touch of class last time out when a meritorious third in the Grand Heritage. This trip will be on the sharp side but he will be running at the leaders late in the day.
In the Pinnacle event Wisteria Walk proved she is in fine fettle last time when waltzing clear to won a Graduation Plate over 1400m by four lengths. She ran on from a handy position in a small field that day and can do the same in this field of five. Rouge Allure has proved lately she is good over further than this, but through most of her career this 1500m trip would have seemed ideal. She has pole position too and could be a threat. Gallic Princess has turned out to be a useful sprinter but is effective over this trip too so as the officially best weighted horse she could be dangerous in this small field, especially if the pace turns out to be slow. Saragon has some class and is effective from 1400m to 1800m so also has a shout. However, this is in fact the first time she has travelled away from her home course of Turffontein so this might be a learning experience. Prince Nicole is not out of it at the weights being just 2,5kg under sufferance with Gallic Princess and being ridden by a 1.5kg claimer. However, this will be the first time she has run over this far. She is by miler Soft Falling Rain out of Captain Al mare Reason To Believe, who was a KRA Fillies Guineas runner up.
The value play of the day comes in the last race. Tulip Way did not stay 2000m last time and finished last and now reverts to a trip which should suit perfectly. She is drawn well and has Muzi Yeni up and she has dropped significantly in the merit ratings. She was off for a year from November 2019 to December 2019 but it was not for a serious injury and if recapturing her earlier form between 1400m and 1600m she should go close. In fact she could even go close on her first two comeback efforts where she ran fourth and fifth respectively over 1400m and was not at all disgraced. Bella Rosa will likely be favourite for this event, as she is knocking on the door and is distance suited. She is capable of a strong finish if it pans out well so she will need to be dropped out from a wide draw to find cover. Bitter Wind is also a fascinating runner here as she won her maiden from start to finish over 1600m and has raced a bit keenly in her last two down the straight over 1400m and 1500m respectively when held up off the pace. She now has the ideal pole position draw to lead again and should be involved. Keepingthepeace won her maiden over 1600m easily and has been given a reasonable opening merit rating of 79 so she could also be involved. Rock You is capable of winning this but a concern is that the first time cheekpieces last time are now replaced with blinkers. She has a wide draw so will need to be restrained early tin order to drop out or slot in and the blinkers might make this tougher to achieve for Craig Zackey.