David Thiselton
THE Turffontein Inside course stages an eight race meeting today and the exotics look catchable.
The highest rated race is the seventh, a MR 96 handicap for fillies and mares over 1200m, and the talented Celestial Love can continue on her winning ways. She bet a decent field on Saturday over 1100m without being stretched. She can thus overcome a six point merit rated raise and as she has a good turn of foot she can afford to be dropped out from a high draw. Sheer Talent will appreciate dropping back to sprint trips and as she has a good turn of foot and a better draw than Celestial Love she could try and steal a march on this tight track. The latter appears to be on an upward curve though so is preferred. Thumbs Up has a win and a second in three starts over this course and distance but has a wide draw to overcome.
In the first race over 2600m, the first leg of the Bipot, Sophia’s First is a banker. She ran on well last time over 2400m to finish a 0,40 length second with the rest of the field more than six lengths further back. She comes out well on collateral form in this uninspiring contest and looks likely to get the trip. Rockpapersciccors jumped from a wide draw over 2000m last time and it did not pan out too well for her so she did well to run on from way back for a close third and she looks the main danger now stepped up to a staying trip.
In the second race over 2600m Ideal Wolff went close in his first try at a staying trip over 2400m last time and can be ridden with more confidence this time knowing he stays. The concern is he has not raced since that run three months ago, in which he was 0,25 lengths behind So Long Spring. He is now weighted to reverse the form, being 1kg better off plus 0,5kg of weight for age improvement. Cash Time comes off two fine seconds over 2400m behind two respective decent stayers and he should be in the shake up. Gold Griffin was well beaten by Cash Time last time but enjoys this course and distance. However, it is tough to ignore any of the runners in this field, so an upset result would be no surprise.
In the third over 2000m Senescence has come into her own and looks capable of overcoming a five point raise considering the ease of her running on win over 1600m last time. She is by Elusive Fort and is a half-sister to a horse who went close over 2000m on the Greyville poly recently so should stay the trip. She has tried this trip before and could only manage fourth in the maidens but she was not shaping over any trip at that stage and has for some reason suddenly turned the corner and been eyecatching in both of her last two starts. Last Cheer ran a fair fourth over this trip on Tuesday and a good second before that over 1800m so could be the chef danger from the same draw as Tuesday. The Brass Way has done well in two starts since stepped up to this trip and can also be involved as can others like Liverpool Legend and Chevron. However, Senescence looks to be a banker.
In the fourth over 1600m Diamonds N Dollars is the selection as she looks to have scope and also looked to have a little bit still in the tank when beating an admittedly uninspiring field in the maidens. She has a fair draw of six and this field is not inspiring either. Furthermore, she is the jointed best in at the weights in this Classified Stakes event. Perfect Angel is another of the joint best-weighted and is a full-sister to the talented but difficult Christmas Flower. Last time out she moved up well over 1450m on the Vaal Classic track but did not go through with it so is interesting over this tighter track over a trip she should get on pedigree. Golden Spoon improved with blinkers last time and starts off handicapping having to carry topweight off a 76 merit rating and the horse she beat Belle Of Belize failed to beat an uninspiring field on Tuesday. However, Golden Spoon can still improve and could earn.
In the fifth race it looks to be a question of whether Me Time will stay the trip and she should do considering she was running on strongly from way back over 1450m last time and just failed. Her pedigree creates some doubt as she is by Gimmethegreenlight out of a speedily bred Tiger Ridge mare but she does now have a plum draw as opposed to the high draw she had last time. In Limbo has a wide draw but as a full-sister to Hawwaam and a half-sister to both Rainbow Bridge and Golden Ducat she is entitld to improve. She showed last time when winning her maiden over this trip she has gears so can overcome that draw. Bella Rosa can never be ignored. Now You See Me made a fine comeback last time and has a fair draw over a suitable trip. Pin Up also has ability and should be as effective over this trip as she is over 1800m.
In the sixth over 1600m Aflame stretched out nicely to win her maiden over 1400m in eyecatching style. She beat Diamonds N Dollars comfortably and the latter won next time out. She starts off handicapping off a reasonable 67 merit rating. Anatura will be running on again from a tricky draw and Un Deux Trois also has a form chance but has to overcome a tough draw.
In the last race Full Velocity flew home in her comeback over 1000m and just failed. She now has a fair draw over 200m further so will be hard to beat if reproducing, although it is her second run after a six month layoff. It is wide open beyond her, but Emerald Crest looks to be the chief danger.