David Thiselton THE VAAL CLASSIC track stages an interesting eight race meeting today and there is a potential profit to be made. The first race is a maiden handicap over 1800m and Joe Harman could be the one to beat. Last time out over this trip he was slow away, perhaps by design from a wide draw, and was last in the running before running on well for a 1,50 length second. His time was 1.02 seconds quicker than the winner of the next race, Crusade To Royalty, who then finished second in her first start out of the maidens. Futhermore, he is drawn in pole and has the increasingly accomplished Kabelo Matsunyane aboard. Run As One’s pedigree creates a question mark over this trip as he is by Gimmethegreenlight out of a Captain Al Grade 3-placed sprinter. However, he is from the family of Gold Cup runner up Noblewood. Furthermore, last time out over 1400m at Turffontein Standside he was outpaced in the early part of the straight but got going late to be beaten 1,70 lengths, suggesting he would enjoy a step up in trip, so he could be dropped out and run on from a wide draw. Parker Getrix is well drawn and if apprentice claims are included he is 4.5kg better off with Joe Harman for 4.5 lengths beating over this trip. If they are not included he is only 2kg better off but he does now have S’Manga Khumalo up. Brenner Pass beat Parker Getrix by three-quarters of a length the last time they met but is now 2kg worse off. However, on 1700m form he has a definite shout here, although he does have a tough draw. Heart Of Harlem ran second with this same 52kg weight last time in a maiden handicap over 1400m and although the jury will be out on his stamina capacity from a pedigree perspective, he is from the Weiho Marwing yard who excel with stayers. In the second race, a maiden handicap for fillies over 1800m, Olympic Silk will be hard to beat. She was stepped up to 1700m last time and relished the extra ground, staying on well for second with the rest of the field, which included Parker Getrix, a further 3,50 lengths back. Two winners have come out of that race and she has another plum draw of two with accomplished apprentice Gabriel Pieterse up. Stunning Kitten had the run of the race last time from pole position over 1450m and stayed on late for third after being swamped so looks likely to enjoy this step up on trip and her pedigree confirms that opinion, being by Elusive Fort and a half-sister to Black Minnaloushe gelding Tom ‘N Jerry whose two wins have been over 1600m and 2000m. Shakiru is also a contender as the form of her last race over 1600m has worked out well and she should stay the trip. In the next race over 1200m only five runners have stood their ground and all five can be included in the Pick 6. Topweight Chief Of State looked a picture in the preliminaries last time before an 1160m event and duly ran a good third. He has early pace and can take advantage of his pole position draw. There is not much between Epic Dream and Singfonico and they look the chief threats. However, the other pair Pure State and Theory Of Light are capable of upsetting, with the former dropping in trip after a layoff and the latter having his third run since being moved up from Cape Town. In the next race Super Agra has a lot of pace and is relishing the prevailing fast ground so can make it three on the trot despite being given a six point raise for his last win over 1160m. However, Dockofthebay looks to have some class so could be a threat in his third run after a five-and-a-half month layoff. In the fifth race Informative ran a fair race the last time he went over a sprint and it was in a stronger field than this so he could do well with Yeni up from a fair draw. Allez Le Bleu is most interesting over 1200m here as she has been kept to 1000m lately despite staying up to 1400m. She ran third off her reduced merit rating last time but she does have a tricky draw. Life Goes On, Iron Mike and Touch Of Fate can also be considered. In the sixth over 1000m Seemyvision has everything in her favour, being 1kg better off than any other horse under the Classified Stakes conditions and distance suited. Florence and Rozara make appeal as the chief dangers. In the seventh over 1450m Me Time will relish the step back up to 1450m and is drawn in pole with Yeni up, although she is three points higher than her last win. The progressive Now You See Me was given an eight point raise for her last 4,25 length doddle so is running off a potentially capped rating and could score the hattrick. Belle Of Belize is also progressive and distance suited. Rouge Allure can be considered for wider and so can Veld Flower, who will find this too sharp but she is a strong handy runner over further and returns from a layoff here. In the last race over 1450m Florida Keys is in fine form and from pole position will be hard to beat. |
Joe Harman can stake his claim
PUBLISHED: 25 August 2021