Varumba stands out in the Racing.It’s A Rush Conditions Plate at Kenilworth today when ability to handle testing conditions will be paramount.
The TAB sheet statistics say that the Vaughan Marshall filly has won twice in the soft but in fact both those victories were on yielding or good-to-soft which is nothing like what it will be today. However she has run well enough in Kenilworth soft in the past to suggest she will cope.
MJ Byleveld’s (pictured) mount also has form in the book. Last time she beat the smart Chevauchee over this trip and she comes out second only to Azarenka on adjusted merit ratings – and that filly has a 15-month absence to overcome.
The sahorseracing website computer predicts that she will win by a good two lengths and, while it might be inadvisable to risk your money on that alone, it is significant that World Sports Betting opened her a warm favourite at 14-10. Dixie Express comes next at 28-10 while Sails Set and Captain’s Dove are 4-1 chances.
Red Light Girl is taken to start the ball rolling in the opener even though she is out of a mare by Western Winter – not an influence for mudlarks. However Chris Snaith is confident she will handle the ground and she kept on encouragingly first time.
But don’t ignore Miss Malbec, who covered the same ground on the same day slightly faster when favourite on debut, and Smokey Affair whose first run was also packed with promise and who has been doing well.
“She has come on a lot since that first run,” says Mike Robinson. “She is a big filly and she should be able to handle the ground. She goes well in the sand.”
Oh Behave had Robinson’s Fire In The Belly (who had already had a run) over two lengths behind when third to the smart Table Bay and subsequent winner Dark Force on debut and looks a worthy 28-10 favourite for race two. “You don’t really know in advance but I expect he will be fine in the ground,” says Paul Reeves.
Billy Prestage believes the testing conditions will also hold no fears for Show Stealer who goes into race four as 22-10 favourite with four good runs behind him. He looks the one to beat even though 13-2 chance Auditorium is rated a kilo better and French Captain (33-10) also has strong claims.
Richard Fourie, who rides Oh Behave, can also take the mile maiden on Flying Ryan.
Michael Clower