Off-course totes and bookmaking facilities in KwaZulu-Natal
have been given the green light to open as from Saturday, June 27.
In a press release, the KwaZulu-Natal Gaming and Betting
Board confirmed that totalisator and bookmaking facilities will be allowed to
re-open subject to certain regulations.
Fifty percent of capacity of the number of
people on site in relation to the floor space of the venue at any given time.
Ensure that the Health, Safety and Occupational
Health prescribed guidelines in respect of Covid-19 are adhered to.
The applicable social distancing requirements.
However, race courses remain closed to the public and only people essential to the running of the race meetings are allowed to attend.
The
Mike Miller-trained Walls of Dubrovnik, in an unexpected turn of events which
would have been unimaginable at the beginning of this season, will be racing
for the biggest cheque of any horse in South Africa this weekend when he runs
in the Listed Gatecrasher Stakes over 1400m at Hollywoodbets Greyville on
Sunday.
When
the new Hemel ‘n Aarde stallion Fencing Master arrived in South Africa in 2016
stallion manager David Allan of David Allan Bloodlines announced
a R1-million bonus to be potentially distributed among the three best
two-year-olds conceived by this stallion in his first covering season.
UK-based
Colin Bird owns Fencing Master and Allan announced that in support of the
British-bred stallion the owner, trainer and breeder of his three best black
type two-year-olds conceived in 2016 would receive respective bonuses of R
500,000, 300,000 and 200,000 respectively.
On
first interpretation it seems the money will be split between owner, trainer
and breeder.
Walls Of Dubrovnik went
within 1,4 lengths of laying claim to the R500,000 cheque on June 13 when
finishing fourth in the Grade 3 Godolphin Barb Stakes over 1100m he would have
gained black type with a third place finish.
Mike Miller’s son and
assistant, Sterling, said the colt had been a bit unlucky that day as a horse
had played up in the stall next to him and he had consequently lost a length at
the jump. He had also needed the run a bit.
Sterling added, “He will
strip fitter, he loves Hollywoodbets Greyville and if he stays the 1400m he is
a massive runner. He travelled a little well in his last run but
he doesn’t normally do that. It looks like there will be a fair pace and we
will be looking for cover. We have a lot of respect though for Anton Marcus’s mount Fast Love.”
Sterling is happy with the
draw of seven out of thirteen.
Walls Of Dubrovnik will be
ridden by regular pilot Eric Ngwane.
Fencing
Master is by the prominent SA-based sire Oratorio.
His
best performance was second in the Group 1 Dewhurst Stakes at Newmarket over
seven furlongs.
His
dam won a Group 1 over 2000m in France and his grandam won three Group 1s up to
2100m in France, so on pedigree Walls Of Dubrovnik should relish the 1400m trip
on Sunday.
Mike
Miller found Walls Of Dubrovnik at the Sibaya Yearling Sale. Sterling described
him as being “five star” on looks at this sale and he was clinched for R120,000.
Walls
Of Dubrovnik was sold to new owners today (Friday) in a deal brokered by Justin
Vermaak.
The
Miller yard also have two other runners in the Gatectrasher, Crushing Force and
Royal Exhibit.
Sterling
said, “Crushing Force is a nice big horse and should be up there. Royal Exhibit
is still learning and we hope he runs on nicely.”
Of their other runners on the day he said Arctic Refuge in the
first would likely need the experience; in the tenth Hello Again and Power To
Command were both doing “extremely well” and were difficult to separate on the
weight turnaround and he would be happy if they placed.
Sean Tarry has big teams contesting the features
at both Turffontein and Hollywoodbets Greyville this weekend but he spoke of
how tough racing had been post lockdown with all horses coming back from
layoffs of various lengths.
Tarry has still not declared his jockeys for the
latter meeting due to a well documented ruling by the NHA which will allow the
like of Lyle Hewitson to ride in Wednesday’s Hollywoodbets Greyville meeting on
July 1 but not in the Grade 1 meeting on Sunday June 28.
In the Grade 1 World Sports Betting Premiers
Champions Stakes Tarry runs Tierra Del Fuego and Tilbury Fort and he
said, “This is a preparation run for the Vodacom Durban July for
Tierra Del Fuego. He is very well although he is a few kgs out with
the top two.”
This colt by Skit Skizzle has never raced beyond
1600m but the July entry and his participation in this 2000m race answers the
question on whether the trainer believes he will stay the trip.
However, Tarry did add, “It’s a small field and if the pace is too slow and he starts travelling too well he obviously won’t see it out.” He continued, “I didn’t originally nominate Tilbury Fort. He is out at the weights and his best days are probably behind him but he is fit and well.”
Tilbury Fort has the advantage of pole position
and Tierra Del Fuego is drawn eight in the nine horse field.
Tarry runs Chimichuri Run, Spring Break and
Green Plains in the Grade 1 Computaform Sprint.
He said, “Chimichuri Run looked outpaced in
his comeback run and I was almost reluctant to run him here based on that. But
I also had to consider he might have just been ring rusty so decided to go
ahead. I will back him up by running him at Hollywoodbets Scottsville next
weekend, depending on how he comes out of this race. It will be difficult to
beat Mr Flood on Saturday but he won’t be far off.”
He continued, “I am excited to see how
Spring Break does as she is lightning fast. We have had to teach her to settle
and I don’t think we have seen the best of her. The fast going makes it worth
taking a chance with her and she won’t be beaten for speed, it is just a matter
of whether she stays at the business end.”
He added, “Green Plains started finding
form before lockdown and I was happy with her comeback, so we are hoping. It
will be tough but she is fit and well.”
He runs In The Dance in the
Grade 1 Empress Club Stakes over 1600m and this half-sister to Capetown Noir
should be suited to fast ground as one with a good action and a fine turn of
foot.
Tarry said, “This
is another interesting race and she faces a tough field. Queen Supreme
will be hard to beat and Ronnie’s Candy, Vistula and Running Brave are no
slouches. In The Dance was far from disgraced in the Ipi Tombe when beaten 1,75
lengths by Ronnie’s Candy at level weights in November. She has subsequently
disappointed and we were a bit lost about her right distance. Last time we put
blinkers on over 1200m and that run convinced me she would be more comfortable
over a mile.”
Tarry runs Cavivar and Golden Belle in the Grade
2 Camellia Stakes and he said, “On July day she finished distressed and it
took a long time to get her right just on that day so I gave her a long break
after that. But she was right up with the best of her generation although it is
not ideal running her in a feature in her first run after a rest. She is doing
very well but it is a talented field and she could be right there or she could
be unplaced, it is tough.”
He continued, “Golden Belle has solid form
and is a nice filly. She has it all to do but I wouldn’t be surprised to see
her run well.”
The yard run debut winner Florida Keys in the Grade 2 SA Nursery and he said,
“She drew high and so I thought it would be worth taking a chance. Her
work has been good and she is looking good and I hope she improves from her
first run. But Mike de Kock has a strong coupling and both of his should also
improve.”
In the Grade 2 SA Fillies
Nursery Tarry runs Making A Scene, who drops from a two length fifth over 1450m
on debut, down to 1160m. He said, “This is a strong race with three or
four hard-knocking fillies and I want to see where she fits in. We will regroup
if she doesn’t run well.”
Shenanigans runs in the Grade 3
Gold Bowl over 3200m and Tarry said, “His last run was a
bit lacklustre but I was happy with his penultimate run. I go in with no
real confidence but he will be aimed at the Gold Cup. I think he improves in
Durban and will do so again.”
Tarry’s first-timer in the
first race, Magical Flight, is by the classy Tarry-trained speedster
Willow Magic out of a seven-time winning Jet Master mare from 1400m to 1800m
and she is from the family of the top class Tarry-trained sprinter Mythical
Flight.
He said, “She may just
need the run.” Track And Ball have her at double figure odds.
However, they have her stable
mate Sanuk as the weak 7/2 favourite and Tarry said, “She made a good
debut and should come on from it. She wouldn’t be out of it on
form.”
In the second race Tarry’s
first-timer Shah Akbar is by Querari out of a Galileo mare who is a
half-sister to the Grade 2-placed sprinter Dijla. He said, “He will need a
bit further and be a bit green but he could be running on
nicely.” Track And Ball have him as 9/2 third favourite.
They go 9/1 about the stablemate
Genie, who ran on into fifth place over 1000m on debut, and Tarry said,
“He had a good first run and with expected improvement should be
thereabouts.”
Tarry runs Cirillo and Matador
Man in the Grade 1 wfa Hollywoodbets Gold Challenge at Hollywoodbets Greyville
on Sunday.
Cirillo travels down from
Randjesfontein and Tarry said, “He is extremely well.”
Matador Man is down at
Summerveld and he said, “His target is the KZN Breeders Million Mile.
There was no real race for him with this rating. He loves Greyville and I just
hope to see him running on.”
His Grade 1 Daily News 2000
pair Shango and Tree Tumbo travel down from Randjes too and Tarry said,
“Shango is doing very well but I think this run will bring him on for the
July. He does well in Durban and once there I expect to see him make good
improvement.”
He continued, “I think
Tree Tumbo is this class and if this does not come too soon after his good
second two weeks ago I expect to see him running on strongly.”
In the Grade 1 Woolavington
2000 Tarry runs Victoria Paige and Keep Smiling.
He said, “It is well
documented Victoria Paige was unlucky in the Gauteng Fillies Guineas and she
was then a victim of the virus when we were confident for the SA Fillies
Classic. She maybe didn’t see out the Oaks trip. She will be effective at
Hollywoodbets Greyville even though she would be better at Turffontein. The two
top fillies here are hard to oppose. But she is fit and well.”
He continued, “Keep On
Smiling on her one close second to Summer Pudding (Fillies Mile) is worth
taking a chance with.”
In the Grade 2 Tibouchina over
1400m he runs Spiritofthegroove and Sidonie.
He said,
“Spiritofthegroove didn’t enjoy Hollywoodbets Scottsville last time and
was never travelling well. She has a good turn of foot when running around the
turn and I think this is a great course and distance for her.”
He continued, “Sidonie’s
comeback run was not inspiring but the field cut up and could have been
stronger. He was a bit strong over a mile last time and we can use this to see
what will happen if we don’t have to go to the front and try and run them off
their feet so we will learn something which will be good for her career.”
Tarry runs the easy debut
winner Caralluma in the Listed Devon Air Stakes and he said, “She seems a
nice filly and on her good first race she would have a chance.”
He runs Montreal Mist in the Durban Dash over 1100m and said, “She is drawn deep and it is a strong field and this is a prep for the KZN Breeders day.”
Katak has opened favourite at even money to extend his
unbeaten run to four in the Abe Bloomberg Legal Eagle Stakes (Winter Classic)
at Kenilworth on Saturday despite Piet Steyn’s openly expressed concerns about
the expected soft ground.
Politician winner Silver Host, representing the powerful
Justin Snaith-Richard Fourie combination, is second favourite at 33-10 and
Super Silvano (Brett Crawford-Corne Orffer) next on 9-2. The only other runner
quoted at less than 15-1 is Black Knap who has a bit to find according to the
handicappers but has won over the trip and was having his first race for seven
months when beating all except Nexus in a pinnacle 16 days ago. The colt is
trained by Vaughan Marshall and ridden by M.J. Byleveld, a combination
successful with Tales Of Bravery in this race ten years ago.
Snaith and his stable jockey stand out in the card as a
whole. They have the early favourite, plus one joint favourite, in six of the
nine races and two of their favourites are odds-on.
Grant van Niekerk’s best chance of a winner on his return
would appear to be Cruise Along in the Casey Bloomberg Ladies Mile. The Candice
Bass-Robinson filly is 5-1 joint third favourite.
Matthew The King, impressive at Durbanville first time but
no match for the high class Erik The Red in the Kuda Somerset, goes again at
Kenilworth on Monday in the Investing Made Easy Juvenile Plate. Byleveld, who
rode the smart Greg Ennion-trained colt on debut, is back on board.
Candice Bass-Robinson has two Grade 1 winners
running in away province Grade 1s this weekend, Clouds Unfolds and Russet Air,
and they have both enjoyed good preparations.
Clouds Unfold runs in the Grade 1 Hollywoodbets
Gold Challenge over 1600m at Hollywoodbets Greyville on Sunday and will be
ridden by Keagan de Melo from a draw of four out of eight.
She is the joint highest merit rated filly in
the country together with Celtic Sea and Bass-Robinson said, “We will see if
she can take on the boys or not.”
The 126 rated What A Winter filly is a twice
winner of the Grade 1 Majorca Stakes over 1600m but is yet to run in KZN as she
slipped on the grass shortly after arriving at Summerveld last season and
chipped the point of her hip.
There have thankfully been no long term effects
and her performance in this year’s Majorca was superb as she was waited with
for a long time by Aldo Domeyer before accelerating smartly to beat Celtic Sea
by 0,30 lengths.
Clouds Unfold had a good preparation run at
Kenilworth on June 3, running a 2,80 length fifth to the crack sprinter Run Fox
Run over the too sharp 1000m at Kenilworth.
She subsequently travelled well to Summerveld
and had a grass gallop at Greyville with a companion on Saturday which
Bass-Robinson said went well.
Bass-Robinson believes a mile is Clouds Unfold’s
best trip. She is by the champion sprinter What A Winter out of a mare by the
stamina influence Montjeu.
It can be expected that the Drakenstein Stud-owned
and bred filly will be relaxed in the running before staying on
strongly.
The Grade 1 Cape Flying Championship winner
Russet Air will run in the Grade 1 Computaform Sprint over 1000m on Saturday.
This
four-year-old gelding is also by What A Winter and is interestingly also out of
a mare by a stamina influence sire in Jallad.
Russet Air left for Johannesburg yesterday and will arrive today.
It is deemed that arriving close to the race is
the best way to handle the effects of the altitude change when travelling to
Johannesburg from the coast. Some also have the view that the altitude is a
bigger factor in races longer than a mile, so Russet Air should have every
chance of retaining Cape Town’s grip on the trophy. The Brett Crawford-trained
Pacific Trader won this race last year.
Russet Air was in the same recent preparation
race as Clouds Unfold and ran a 1,75 length third.
Bass-Robinson believes the Turffontein Standside
1000m will suit him as he enjoys running on behind a fast pace. The Turffontein
Standside 1000m is one of the fastest sprint courses in the land so the pace is
usually strong.
He is drawn one which is generally regarded as
being the worst draw.
However, it should not be too bad for him as he
will be looking to drop in behind them.
Piere Strydom is aboard and will have studied
the race by Saturday to work out the best strategy.
Russet Air is the highest merit rated horse in the race on 125, but Mr Flood, who is merit rated 124 and is relatively unexposed, could turn out to be something special and will be the choice of most pundits.
The
NHA is pleased to announce further relaxations effective 1 July 2020 regarding
its protocols pertaining to Racing behind closed doors. The NHA have informed
the Racing Operators accordingly on the requirements that needs to be complied
with in order to continue staging these meetings.
The following rules shall be applicable come 1
July 2020:
The field sizes will be restricted to 14 runners per race with the exception of ALL Pattern races in which 16 runners will be allowed.
The conditions of the Vodacom Durban July shall remain in place.
Jockeys will be restricted to ride in the region of their choice and cannot move in between provinces. However, they will be allowed to make one permanent move for the month of July and must only ride in that province. They will therefore be domiciled in that respective region for the month.
The adjusted minimum riding weight in Handicap races shall remain at 54kg until 31 July and shall revert back to the norm at the start of the new racing season.
Previous restrictions on the movement of horses will be lifted. Kindly note that the standard AHS movement regulations do apply.
All Horse Transport Companies must have the necessary Permits to move horses between the training centres and race courses.
The last race must be run not later than 17h00.
Any persons with comorbidities shall not be able to attend.
Owners with runners on the day shall be advised during the month of July, after updated level 3 Government regulations are published, as to when they will be allowed to attend race meetings. The Racing Operators, together with the Racing Association shall advise of the relevant procedures to be adopted in line with strict Covid-19 regulations.
All of the above will be applicable for the month of July. Further relaxations may be implemented in conjunction with the status of the Coronavirus pandemic, together with any positive changes to the Governments adjusted risk strategy from August onwards.
The
NHA is again pleading to all participants to continue to self-regulate
regarding prevention and hygiene practices. The Covid-19 pandemic is now in
rapid growth stages in South Africa. The scientific and worldwide
statistics, forecasts that this virus will be in existence for an extended
period. Individual responsibility will go a long way in assisting the South
African Horseracing Industry to continue racing, creating value and to the
ultimate sustainability thereof.
The unbeaten Katak faces ten rivals in the Abe Bloomberg
Legal Eagle Stakes at Kenilworth on Saturday and only once in the past 18 years
has what was previously known as the Winter Classic attracted a bigger field.
Piet Steyn reported Cape Town’s latest star in good form on
Monday but he is concerned about the amount of rain forecast for later in the
week as he fears that Katak’s flowing action could be affected.
He said: “The horse is very well at the moment. Aldo Domeyer
worked him over 1 400m on the cinders on Saturday morning and he was very
pleased with the way he went while I personally couldn’t have expected more.
“My worry is that there is a lot of rain forecast for
Thursday, Friday and Saturday and I don’t know how Katak is going to handle a
wet course. He is a lovely mover when the going is on top but he has a low
action and on sand he is a fair worker rather than a great one.”
Windguru does not give a specific forecast for Kenilworth
but it predicts 3.5mm on Thursday for nearby Newlands followed by a further
millimetre on Friday and 3.0mm on Saturday prior to the race which is at
4.10pm. Kenilworth tends to get more rain than Newlands.
Katak, immensely impressive in what used to be called the
Winter Guineas, seems sure to start favourite. It’s more a question of whether
the bookmakers will be brave enough to heed Steyn’s words of caution and
quote the horse at odds against. The favourite has been successful in only four
of the last 12 runnings.
The race tends to be won by a class act. Future Vodacom
Durban July winners Power King and Marinaresco were successful in 2014 and 2016
and the last two winners were subsequent Sun Met scorer Rainbow Bridge and
Vardy who went on to win the L’Ormarins Queen’s Plate.
As the winner of a Grade 3, Katak has to give a kilo to all
except Silver Host. The Justin Snaith Politician winner and the Brett
Crawford-trained Super Silvano are both rated 1.5kg better than Katak.
Interestingly Steyn thought he had missed out on Katak when
the Potala Palace colt came up at the 2018 CTS April Yearling Sale at
Durbanville.
He recalled: “I looked at the yearlings before they went
into the ring and I liked him. But they were selling quickly and by the time I
walked back he had gone through. I assumed somebody had bought him.
“When the sale was over Graeme Koster came up to me and
said: ’Are you looking for horses?’ I said that I liked the Potala Palace
but I’d missed him. Graeme handed me the passport and said: ‘This is his. Take
it.’”
The price was a mere R20 000 and Steyn did not have to
pay until the horse was ready to run!
But back to Saturday. Grant van Niekerk is much in
demand on his first day of South African action since the beginning of August.
He rides in all except one of the nine races and has three mounts for Justin
Snaith, two for Candice Bass-Robinson and one each for Adam Marcus, Eric Sands
and Glen Puller. The Sun Met-winning jockey won two out of six on his last
visit to Kenilworth.
Justin Snaith has been the most successful
trainer so far this SA Champions Season and he answered questions about his
charges for Sunday’s big Daily News 2000 and Hollywoodbets Gold Challenge
meeting as well as the question of jockeys for the Vodacom Durban July.
Stable jockey Richard Fourie and record-breaking
Anton Marcus are the two chief riders in the mix for Snaith’s three most
prominent July contenders, Do It Again, Belgarion and Bunker Hunt.
Snaith said, “Anton
is aware he would have to slim 2kg to ride Belgarion and considering the
performance he put up on Saturday he is definitely thinking about it. But it
all depends on how Do It Again runs in the Gold Challenge. This horse is very
special to Richard and he goes for a record-breaking third July in succession
which is something any jockey would want to be associated with.”
Marcus rode Do It Again to July victory in 2018
and Fourie was aboard last year. Marcus is aboard the Twice Over gelding on
Sunday in the Gold Challenge.
Do It Again ran well below par in three runs in
the Cape Summer Season but this was put down to continuously not eating up. He
was found to have ulcers which have now been treated and he is eating well
again.
Snaith said Do It Again’s recent grass gallop at
Hollywoodbets Greyville with Belgarion gave him cause to hope the big horse was
back to his best and said, “He was giving Belgarion 6kg in that
gallop.” Do It Again led the pair but was still on the bit when they
crossed the line, whereas Belgarion was being hard ridden.
Belgarion will carry 53kg in the July which
means Fourie would have to slim 1kg from his official minimum riding weight of
54kg while Marcus would have to slim 2kg.
Bunker Hunt, as things stand is set to carry
54,5kg in the July but unlike Belgarion, who is 1kg under sufferance, he is in
the handicap so his weight could change if Do It Again comes down from his 135
rating or if any horse rises above 135.
The horse Snaith is most scared of in the July
is Rainbow Bridge.
He said, “Rainbow Bridge is a very good
horse. Last season Do It Again and Rainbow Bridge were hands down the best
weight for age horses over 2000m in the country.”
Snaith said all horses in his Summerveld yard
were very well and this includes his team for Sunday.
He said, “Before arriving here at
Summerveld I would have liked Sachdev for the Daily News 2000 ahead of Wild
Coast, but Wild Coast is really enjoying Durban and they are now very close.
Sachdev needed his WSB Guineas run more so will come on more from it. If you
can’t beat a Silvano over a mile you are not going to beat him over 2000m and
Sachdev was only beaten 0,95 lengths in the Guineas (which was won by Wild
Coast).”
Wild Coast will also enjoy the 2000m trip being
by Trippi out of the versatile Beach Beauty, who was effective from 1200m up to
2000m.
Snaith has entered Sovereign Secret and Rattle
Mouse in the Grade 1 Woolavington 2000.
He said, “Sovereign Secret was given no
chance in the WSB Fillies Guineas as she was second last in the running behind
a slow pace.” Her previous best effort had been a third place finish in
the CTS 1600, She is by Dynasty out of the three time Grade 1 winner from 1200m
to 1600m, All Is Secret. She has a full brother who won over 1900m, so has a
chance of staying the trip despite the speed from the dam, who’s two Grade 1
1200m wins were in the Allan Robertson and Mercury Sprint.
Rattle Mouse, who finished 1,75 lengths behind
Sovereign Secret in the WSB Fillies Guineas, is by Ideal World and has already
proven her liking for 2000m, finishing a head second in a MR 84 handicap for
fillies and mares at Kenilworth in her first run out of the maidens. However,
she is only merit rated 84, so it remains to be seen whether she will get into
Sunday’s field.
Snaith’s crack sprinter Kasimir will be going for the Grade 1 Golden Horse Sprint over 1200m at Hollywoodbets on July 4 and then the Grade 1 Mercury Sprint over 1200m at Hollywoodbets Greyville on Gold Cup day August 29. Kasimir’s runner up finish in the IOS Drill Hall Stakes was the joint best performance of the SA Champions Season so far alongside Belgarion’s WSB 1900 win on Saturday according to handicapping guru Jay August.
Anton Marcus, booked for Do It Again in Sunday’s
Hollywoodbets Gold Challenge, will be riding the horse for the first time
in a race since landing a record fifth Vodacom Durban July on him nearly two
years ago.
But seemingly the sponsors are more influenced by the
five-year-old’s disappointing form so far this season and make him only third
favourite at 5-1. Rainbow Bridge heads the market at 5-2 with Vardy close up at
3.03-1.
However favourites in the Gold Challenge have a poor recent
record. The last six have all been beaten and there has not been a winning one
since odds-on Variety Club (Marcus) won the race for the second successive year
in 2013. Furthermore Do It Again won last year’s race and Justin Snaith is
bidding for his fourth Gold Challenge victory.
Do It Again remains a big price in the July market with most
layers offering around 11-1. Predictably the big movers on Sunday were Snaith’s
Saturday feature winners Belgarion and Myabi Gold. The former was cut from 8-1
to 6-1 joint second favourite (with Rainbow Bridge) while the mare was slashed
from 66-1 to 22-1. Hawwaam remains favourite but has been eased from 4-1 to
5-1.
Do It Again has finished no closer than sixth in three
outings this season but his trainer is hoping for a much-improved effort
on Saturday: “He is going well, we have had no hiccups, everything looks fine
and on song.
“There are some good horses in the race, and it’s going to
be tough, but I am quite confident Do It Again has no reason to run a bad race.
We have found all his little issues.”
The last-named includes the ulcers which were believed to be
at the root of the horse’s problems in the Cape season. “We did all the tests
prior to putting him back into training and everything had cleared up. He is
carrying condition which he wasn’t before. He looks a happy horse – he is
bucking every morning – and it doesn’t look as if anything is bothering him.”
Snaith also mentioned Roi Querari, a horse he believes could
develop into a top sprinter. The three-year-old will be ridden by Marcus in
Sunday’s Durban Dash – “He is having his first run back and he is doing
exceptionally well. He should have run in the Post Merchants and how he didn’t
get in I don’t know. Let’s see if he proves them wrong on Sunday!”
The dual champion trainer was in treble form at a wet
Kenilworth on Sunday but those punters who follow the stable blindly – and many
do – had to contend with four beaten favourites including a particularly
expensive start with 11-20 shot Stuck On You.
“She should have won by five,” said Snaith. “I don’t know
what her issues are but there is something that’s not right.”
Stable companion La Quinta, in contrast, made up those five
lengths in the final furlong for M.J. Byleveld to come home at 16-1. “I had her
ready to run just before the lockdown but the meeting was scrapped. This time
we put in our stable comments that she is very speedy and could easily run into
the money.”
Vaughan Marshall’s hot favourite Freedom Park also proved
costly, starting at 11-10 and managing only ninth behind Robert Khathi’s
mount Tarantino. The Milnerton trainer, though, promptly served up 66-1
compensation with the Ossie Noach-ridden newcomer Dubai Lights.
Noach completed an 870-1 double on the Glen Puller-trained
12-1 shot Miss D’Aray in the last but the most obvious post-lockdown lesson in the
Western Cape is that Glen Kotzen’s stable is on fire. The Woodhill trainer
followed up last Tuesday’s treble with two more winners – Mountain Ridge (Greg
Cheyne) and the appropriately-named Winter’s Awakening (Morne Winnaar).
Justin Snaith’s stable jockey Richard Fourie will have a headache choosing his Vodacom Durban July ride this year after Belgarion put up a scintillating performance yesterday to win the Grade WSB 1900 at Greyville under Anton Marcus.
Belgarion is set to carry 53kg in the July as things stand not the widely reported 54kg.
The 54kg is in fact two kgs out because he will be 1kg under sufferance off his expected 119 merit rating.
Belgarion is likely to be given the maximum six point raise for his three length win over the KZN horse Tristful, who was 1,4 lengths clear of another KZN horse Camphoratus.
That means he will go from 113 to 119 which is 16 points less than the 135 merit rating of the current highest rated horse Do It Again.
As each point represents half-a-kilogram that equates to 8kg and with top weight being 60kg it would have him carrying 52kg in a true handicap.
However, the July is a mixture between a handicap and a conditions race and one of the conditions is that the minimum weight for a male horse is 53kg, meaning he has to go up 1kg from his true handicap weight. He will thus, as things stand, be “1kg under sufferance”.
However, he will be regarded by the experts as being well weighted because his 119 merit rating is likely “capped”. A condition of the WSB 1900 is that the winner can not be raised more than six points and given freedom the handicappers might well have raised him higher.
One of South Africa’s best handicappers Jay August unofficially awarded Belgarion 115 on a scale which can be compared to the Asian Pacific Conference (APC) ratings.
This makes his performance equal best for the SA Champions Season so far alongside the Snaith-trained, Kasimir, who ran to that rating when second in the IOS Drill Hall.
However, August said Belgarion could even be given a 115+ considering the ease of the win.
On the other hand he said the international handicappers on the APC panel, which includes South Africa’s chief handicapper Lennon Maharaj, would always challenge a 115 first time for a horse outside of a Grade 1 race and predicted they would knock him down to 114.
Last year Do It Again achieved the highest APC in this country of 121 with Hawwaam and Rainbow Bridge close behind on 120 and 119 respectively.
Presuming Belgarion is given a 114 that puts him just seven points lower than Do It Again at his best and under that rating scale Belgarion would have had to carry 56,5kg in the July. The experts might thus regard him as being 3,5kg “well in”, i.e weighted 3,5kg better than he should be.
Marcus does not yet have a ride for this year’s July so might well be aboard the leading Snaith contender Fourie rejects i.e Belgarion or Do It Again.
Do It Again was ridden by Marcus to win the July two years ago and was ridden by Fourie last year.
Fourie’s minimum riding weight is 54kg and Marcus’ is 55kg, so both will have to slim significantly to ride Belgarion as things stand.