Lady Amherst to dictate the terms

PUBLISHED: 16 June 2021

The Candice Dawson-trained NIRVANA GIRL runs in the seventh at Turffontein today. Picture: Candiese Lenferna

David Thiselton

Turffontein Standside hosts an interesting eight race meeting today and there looks to be opportunities for both exotic and on the nose punters.

The highest rated race on the card is the seventh, a MR 90 handicap for fillies and mares over 1600m and the progressive Lady Amherst can follow up on her last win, which was over this trip down the Vaal straight. That race did not pan out too well from an unfavourable low draw and she raced without cover in the front for the first half of the race and did not settle perfectly. It was thus commendable that the big filly, who has grown into her big frame, found extra to get up. In her previous start over today’s course and distance she appeared to have found a good position from draw six, one out and three back, but then pulled and S’Manga Khumalo had no option but to let her go and she thus rounded the few ahead of her coming up Turffontein’s energy-sapping hill. It was thus commendable she ran all the way to the line to be beaten just 0,40 lengths by Ululate. Three winners, including herself, have come out of that race. She was raised four points for her last win but now has a good draw of three and Khumalo would have learnt from those last two runs. It would be no surprise to see him taking her to the front and attempting to dictate. Querari Ferrari should beat Lady Amherst on a line through Ululate. Lady Amherst received 5kg from Ululate and lost to her by 0,40 lengths. Querari Ferrari gave Ululate 2kg in the Listed Syringa Handicap last time and beat her by 4,65 lengths. However, other collateral form points to Ululate having run below par in her last two outings and Querari Ferrari also has a tough draw to overcome. Sultanah gave Lady Amherst 2.5kg and a 0,40 length beating over this trip on the Inside track last November. There is now not only a reversal in draw fortune that favours Lady Amherst but the latter is also receiving 4kg. However, Sultanah proved how useful she is last time when going down narrowly over this trip on the Vaal Classic track to the progressive Paton’s Tears. She received 2kg from Ululate that day and beat her by 3,25 lengths which puts her ahead of Lady Amherst on that bit of form. However, on direct form between them Lady Amherst is ahead of Sultanah which might point to the Ululate form-line not being consistent. Now You See Me has a fine chance on paper with Lady Amherst as she is 2kg better off with her for a 0,40 length beating. She raced in front that day down the Vaal straight. However, she does not have as much scope as Lady Amherst and is also a touch one-paced so will need to find the front from draw six but might be kept out by Lady Amherst. Now You See Me sneaks into the handicap with the minimum weight and Chase Maujean knows her well. The topweight Rouge Allure is now seven years old but is still capable and enjoys this trip there days. She was beaten 4,75 lengths by Lady Amherst last time and is only 2.5kg better off. However, she does prefer going around the turn and is drawn in two so can’t be discounted off a mark that is now two points lower than her last win, which was on the Inside course last August. Making A Scene has a shout on paper on the grounds of her last run over this trip where she beat Lady Amherst by a short-head as she faces her on the same terms but in reality is 1kg better off if weight for age improvement is taken into account. However, there is a reversal in draw fortune that favours Lady Amherst. Ideal Angel goes for a hat-trick and as a typically progressive Ideal World four-year-old she is hard to ignore although Warren Kennedy is replaced by Ryan Munger and Kennedy rides the former KZN horse Nirvana Girl, who ran well over this trip first time out the maidens at Hollywoodbets Greyville. However, Nirvana Girl will likely find it tougher on the Highveld and she hasn’t race for five-and-a-half months. Golden Spoon represents the in form Mike de Kock yard and comes off a win over 1450m. However, she had previously been beaten 0,25 lengths over this trip by Ideal Angel and is now 2kg worse off in real terms and 1kg worse off if weight for age improvement is considered. That leaves Sweet And Spicy and Let There Be Light who will have to improve on their recent form and the former is returning from a layoff too. It is an open race but they are selected in the order mentioned.

In the previous race, a Classified Stakes race over 1600m, Encore makes appeal as a possible banker. She won a Classified event cosily last time over this trip and is the joint best weighted here and can follow up against uninspiring opposition. However, she does have a tricky draw of seven and the risk averse can also include Fifth Of July, who reverts to his probable best trip for the first time since his maiden win, and All Aglow, who is the joint best weighted and is distance suited and well drawn.