Mai Tai to serve well
PUBLISHED: January 29, 2020
In the seventh race over 1000m the Wayne Badenhorst-trained Vercingetorix filly Mai Tai has always been well regarded and having led last time…
Hollywoodbets Scottsville hosts an eight race meeting today and the exotics should pay rewarding dividends for those who do their homework.
In the seventh race over 1000m the Wayne Badenhorst-trained Vercingetorix filly Mai Tai has always been well regarded and having led last time over 1200m before being caught late she is interesting dropped to the minimum trip. The jockey dropped his crop at the 300m mark last time but pushed the horse out well. A more significant factor was she over-raced a touch with cheek pieces on and they are now off. She should still have enough pace to be within touching distance and this time will be able to find the necessary extra at the finish. She looks to be off an attractive mark of 82 considering she was regarded as feature class as a two-year-old and placed fourth in the Listed Devon Air Stakes over 1400m.
The Alyson Wright-trained Soft Falling Rain filly Gail Force won well second time out over this trip on the poly and has been accorded a competitive looking merit rating of only 77.
Garth Puller has been in fine form this season and his Seventh Rock filly First Sighting has been right there the last twice she has tried this trip so she can go close with the advantage of a 4kg claimer now up.
Louis Goosen has been on good form and his filly Song Of The Forest should be finishing strongly under a 4kg claimer.
Puller’s Flaming Lass won well second time out over 1200m and she could also be involved despite being accorded quite a high merit rating of 85.
Soiree and Coyote Girl also warrant respect.
The first leg of the Pick 6 is a maiden over 1200m and Anton Marcus is an interesting booking on Alma Mater. This horse improved with blinkers on over 1100m last time and doesn’t face an inspiring field.
King Cyrus made a fair debut in the strong centre of Kenilworth and wasn’t disgraced in his first run after gelding on the Greyville poly. He can improve and should be included.
In the second leg of the Pick 6, a Progress Plate over 1750m, Williams Land was beaten 4,25 lengths by G G’s Dynasty over 1600m last time. The form has been franked as the latter went on to win the Listed Michael Roberts handicap. Williams Land will relish the step back up to a similar trip as his last win although drawn six of ten won’t make it easy for Keagan de Melo. Paths Of Victory is an interesting runner as he prefers further but on this tough course he will be staying on well. He is second best in at the weights. Moon In June is third best in at the weights and is drawn five over a suitable trip, so she can make her presence felt.
In the fifth race over 1750m Silva Magic, Dark Moon Down and In Jest could fight it out. Silva Magic went close over 1800m last time off this merit rating and has a fair draw of five. Dark Moon Down comes from the Paul Lafferty yard, whose fortunes are on the up, and she was staying on over 1600m last time in her first run out the maidens. She will relish the step back to the course and distance of her maiden win and she now has a plum draw of three compared to 14 when she won her maiden. In Jest beat Silva Magic by half-a-length last time but is now half-a-kilogram worse off and has a tricky draw.
In the sixth over 1000m Washington Square has always been well regarded and is in fine form so can go close with the same 4kg claimer up. Sarabi has won over course and distance before and has Warren Kennedy up off a slightly reduced merit rating. Candle Cove won her only start over this course and distance and has Marcus aboard.
In the last race over 1950m Wylie’s Wonder showed improvement with blinkers on last time and should relish the step to this trip. She is drawn in pole so has a chance if starting better than she did last time. Salah’s Girl was a revelation when stepped up from sprints to 2000m last time so she is an interesting contender, although she does have a tough draw to overcome. Captive Gold has fair form and with first time blinkers on has Marcus up from a good draw. Rise was staying on well over 1750m last time but also has a wide draw. Mission Beach has shown enough to be able to contest the finish.
By David Thiselton
Rainbow Bridge raring to go
PUBLISHED: January 28, 2020
Big race jockey Ryan Moore is globe-trotting at present and Sands was not sure whether he would arrive in time to sit on Rainbow Bridge before Saturday…
Eric Sands is very happy with the well-being of the defending Sun Met champion Rainbow Bridge in the week of the big race.
Some of the five-year-old Ideal World gelding’s fans have been concerned about the hard race he had in the L’Ormarins Queen’s Plate but Sands said, “He got caught in the front with Hawwaam and they were fighting head to head for about three furlongs so it was a great effort for him to still stay on for third. So we had to ease back on him a little after the race, but he has now come well, I am very happy with him.”
Big race jockey Ryan Moore is globe-trotting at present and Sands was not sure whether he would arrive in time to sit on Rainbow Bridge before Saturday.
Moore was in Florida last Saturday to ride in the Pegasus World Cup, where he finished second on the Aidan O’Brien-trained Magic Wand, he then finished second yesterday on the KW Lui-trained More Than This in the Hong Kong Classic Mile at Sha Tin’s big Chinese New Year meeting, and today he will be riding work in Saudi Arabia ahead of the US$20 Million Saudi Cup on February 29.
Sands believes there will be a fair pace in the Met.
He identified Twist Of Fate as a horse who had run his best races when going strongly up with the pace and mentioned Head Honcho as another who liked to be right up there.
He added, “We are drawn outside of both of them too.”
He said he could not see either of those horses setting a very fast pace but felt there would at least be an honest pace.
Rainbow Bridge has a fine draw of five and Twist Of fate and Head Honcho are drawn three and four respectively.
Sands clinched his first Met victory last year.
His previous best in Cape Town’s biggest race had been second with Grand Jete in 2002.
Sands only has one other runner on the day, Black Belt in the last race.
He said about this hard-knocking Black Minnaloushe gelding, “He is a five-year-old so is not improving but is very honest and it is not a killer field. In fact I think the field he ran in the other day was stronger and he is doing well.”
By David Thiselton
Direct exports expected for Europe
PUBLISHED: January 28, 2020
“Audits in any sector seldom return flawless results and nobody ever gets a 100% clear report. There will be additional recommendations from the EU team…
Adrian Todd now expects South Africa to be able to export horses direct to Europe – without having to go via Mauritius – in either September or October.
This follows the official confirmation from the European Union that its bloodstock protocol audit will take place between April 20 and May 1.
Todd, managing director of SA Equine Health & Protocols, said yesterday: “Audits in any sector seldom return flawless results and nobody ever gets a 100% clear report. There will be additional recommendations from the EU team after the audit; they will send a report and we will implement what they suggest but I am confident that the audit will be successful and I would expect that, once any additional recommendations have been implemented, we should be looking at the reinstatement of direct exports to the EU by September/October.”
By Michael Clower
De Kock pleased with Hawwaam’s draw
PUBLISHED: January 28, 2020
De Kock said about the draw, “At least from draw 12 Anton Marcus will not have to think about getting away from the rail, he will already be away from it…
Mike de Kock is very happy with the condition of Hawwaam ahead of Saturday’s Sun Met and is actually pleased he is drawn wide, although he described the betting for both the Met and the Grade 1 Bidvest Majorca Stakes as “ridiculous”.
De Kock said about the draw, “At least from draw 12 Anton Marcus will not have to think about getting away from the rail, he will already be away from it. He was obsessed about getting away from the rail in the Queen’s Plate, I struggle to think why when you are in the perfect position to take the shortest way home, but this time he won’t have to do all that thinking.”
Hawwaam over-raced in the L’Ormarins Queen’s Plate when caught in a head to head fight with Rainbow Bridge for about three furlongs, so many were of the opinion he had a hard race.
However, De Kock disagreed and said, “I am not convinced he had a hard race. Once his chances were ruined and it became obvious he was not going to place he made no effort in the finish.”
He concluded, “He has had a good prep, I couldn’t be happier with him.”
The Met has the known front-runner Head Honcho in the line up and there are others like Undercover Agent who like to get on with it.
De Kock predicted the race would be run at a “good, even tempo”.
Hawwaam is the ruling favourite at roundabout 18/10 while the Queen’s Plate and Green Point Stakes winner Vardy is only second favourite at 28/10.
De Kock said, “The Met betting is absolutely ridiculous. Even if things had gone better in the Queen’s Plate Vardy would have been very difficult to beat. When is Vardy going to be given the credit he is due? He is an absolute champion. I just don’t understand it but I think it is because of all this hype from people who seem to have no idea about form.”
De Kock is also bewildered by the betting for the Majorca, a weight for age mile for fillies and mares.
Whilst agreeing Queen Supreme is looking to be a very good filly he said, “She doesn’t have nearly the formlines of Celtic Sea. Celtic Sea is a a multiple Grade 1 winner and the champion of her generation, yet the betting has Queen Supreme at around even money and Celtic Sea at about 7/2. There is no logic in that.”
Queen Supreme has won five of her seven starts including an easy 2,50 length victory in the Grade 1 Paddock Stakes over 1800m last time, which followed an excellent 1,60 length fourth in the Grade 1 Gauteng Summer Cup. The Exceed And Excel filly is Irish-bred and although officially a four-year-old she has not yet turned four in actual terms, so she will be improving all the time. She gets a half-a-kilogram hemisphere allowance.
De Kock said, “She has had a very good prep. She stayed down in the Cape after the race and has blossomed. As time goes on she will get better and better as she is not even physically four yet.”
Queen Supreme is drawn nine compared to Celtic Sea’s eight.
De Kock has three horses in the CTS 1200, Vaseem, Battleoftrafalgar and Alramz.
His regular first call jockey Callan Murray is on Vaseem.
De Kock said, “Vaseem is probably the best sprinter of the three. Battleoftrafalgar had an abscess on the epiglottis after winning the Million Mile so missed a fair bit of work but he is getting there, although the Million Mile form looks ordinary. Alramz has done nothing wrong and has been better in blinkers.
The yard’s other runner on the day is Atyaab in the Grade 2 New Turf Carriers Western Cape Stayers over 2800m where he is second favourite at around 11/2.
De Kock said he was well and added, “He is exposed, what you see is what you get with him.”
The Australian-bred Dundeel gelding carries second topweight of 59,5kg and jumps from draw six under Murray.
By David Thiselton
Team Snaith going to have a big one
PUBLISHED: January 28, 2020
“If I had to pick a horse for the day I think Kasimir is a huge runner in the Cape Flying Championship,” he told this writer. “He needed his first run back.
“Punters, follow the Snaith team on Sun Met day. I think we have our horses right at the right time, and I think we are going to have a big one.”
Justin Snaith’s interview with Grant Knowles could be heard all over the grandstand at Kenilworth on Saturday and, whether by accident or design, the volume was turned up to maximum – even on the escalators – as the Met day maestro made his bold prediction for Saturday.
With a staggering R18 million Pick Six up for grabs many punters will be turning to Snaith for their first choice selections – and with good reason. Over the past eight years his average Met day winner haul is better than four and only once during that time has he sunk below three.
“If I had to pick a horse for the day I think Kasimir is a huge runner in the Cape Flying Championship,” he told this writer. “He needed his first run back but he is doing very well and the only one in the race that I’m worried about is Run Fox Run. She hasn’t beaten much [compared with Kasimir] and this is a bigger test for her but she is the unknown.”
For a long time the Met was Snaith’s bogey race and, while he finally won it with Oh Susanna two years ago, hot favourite Do It Again was beaten 12 months ago and his well-documented post-Queen’s Plate setback has threatened to make it go pear-shaped again.
What punters are openly doubting is whether the horse can turn it on in his dual Vodacom Durban July-winning style after having an interrupted preparation. “There hasn’t been much interruption,” says his trainer who believes some members of the media (including this one) have made too much of the horse being under the weather.
“I wouldn’t say under the weather either,” Snaith responds. “It’s just that he hasn’t been at his best. It was too long between his July win and his season starting. He had become a quiet horse – too much boring work up and down the tracks in heavy sand.
“Also that 20 minute delay at the start of the Queen’s Plate didn’t help with a horse who had not been doing as well as I’d hoped because he was already at the limit of his wellbeing. He has improved a lot since. I don’t want to say too much as to why at this stage because I feel that, with the changes I have made, he has to go and run well first for me to be able to say what might have been wrong – whether it was a slight biliary, whether it was a track issue or what. We have had problems in Philippi with the tracks, tractors breaking down etc.”
The extra two furlongs on Saturday will presumably suit him a lot better? “Without a doubt and, in any case, just look at the distance he was beaten in the Queen’s Plate (just over four lengths). It’s not like he ran ten lengths back. I’m only looking for a small bit of improvement.”
Lastly, does he still think 50-1 shot Bunker Hunt is the dark horse of the race, bearing in mind that Bernard Fayd’Herbe’s mount is rated between five and seven kilos inferior to the big guns? “That is against him, I agree, and probably it could cost him winning but I do think that not running on Queen’s Plate day is a huge advantage for him.”
By Michael Clower