David Thiselton

THE Vaal Classic track today looks to have some fair opportunities for punters.

In the first race over 1450m Fashionigma was dropped out from a tricky draw over 1400m last time and stayed on well for second. This Master Of My Fate filly has some substance and from pole position is given the narrow vote to beat Pink Legacy and Lollapalooza. Pink Legacy is a rangy and immature daughter of Querari out of the Summer Cup winner Flirtation. She stayed on well for second on debut over this trip and will be a threat from another fair draw. On the downside Flirtation has only produced one winner from four runners to date. Lollapalooza is a similar type to Pink Legacy and should come on from her fair debut when handy over 1200m and finding no extra late. She is by Soft Falling Rain out of Listed Oaks Trial runner up Withbatedbreath (Fort Wood) so will appreciate the step up in trip but she does have a tricky draw of five in the seven horse field.

In the second race over 1600m Motown Magic looks to have a nice action and stayed on well for third from a tough low draw over 1160m at Turffontein Standside last time. This Uncle Mo colt will relish the step up in trip and is drawn well in three. Iron Will quickened well on debut over 1450m and charged into second place and last time over 1600m had to be used up early to get to the front and found no extra. He is now drawn well in two and will be a big threat as he has some scope. Litigation stayed on well on debut over 1200m for third and being by Greys Inn out of a Jet Master mare who has produced the four-time winner from 1400m to 1600m Caesura he will relish the step up in trip and also has a chance from a fair draw. 

In the third over 1600m it didn’t pan out well from a wide draw last time for Last Song but she made up an enormous amount of ground in the straight to run second and she can make amends here in this uninspiring field from a fair draw. Princess Thiana can place in the first three from a good draw. Ocean’s Pride has blossomed as a six-year-old and can place again.    

In the fourth over 2000m Understated is a scopey sort who should be improving and although she would likely prefer further she does not have a lot to beat here and can go one better than her second over 2600m last time. Waltzing Al lands a good draw over a suitable trip and should be in the shake up. Arizona Lady has been knocking on the door and should be right there. 

In the fifth over 2000m Black Thorn has plenty of scope and came from some way back to get up over this trip in the maidens, so he should be able to run on after being dropped out from a wide draw and is the one to beat receiving 6.5kg from Countfonic Legacy. Countfonic Legacy ran on well from near the back last time over 1800m and was just run out of it late by a more experienced horse and it will be no surprise if he make amends here from another good draw although with topweight it won’t be easy. Into The Future will be dangerous from the front from a pole position draw. She led and stayed on gamely over 1450m last time and strikes as one who will stay further on looks and pedigree.

In the sixth race the progressive Al Sakeet is capable of rising above his current 96 merit rating and can make it four wins from five starts. He will be hard to beat and his stablemate Battleoftrafalgar looks the chief threat.

In the seventh over 1200m Toto looks well handicapped and might enjoy the step down in trip. Upcloseandpersonal has good form but has a wide draw. Bella Black, Samoa and Twelve Oaks make most appeal of the rest although punters should go as wide as possible in this race.

In the eighth over 1450m Un Deux Trois has pole position and should be staying on. Khumalo is an eyecatching booking and although she would probably prefer a touch further she could be too good for this Classified Stakes field at the weights. Encore, who is the joint best-weighted horse together with Un Deux Trois, and Rodger The Dodger could be the chief threats. In the ninth over 1450m Funky Music is 2,5kg under sufferance with the best weighted horses but has improved and can go close again over a suitable trip. Evening Rise is officially the second best weighted horse in this Classified Stakes event and reverts to the sort of trip of her last two wins.  Louvain, 1.5kg under sufferance with the best weighted, is distance suited and well drawn. Florida Keys is officially the best weighted but has a wide draw and needs to bounce back to form. Brooklyn Bridge and El Romiachi are unreliable but can never be ignored

David Thiselton

Turffontein stages an eight race stand alone meeting on tomorrow and there look to be some fair opportunities for punters.

The highest rated race on the card is the seventh, a MR 96 handicap over 1600m, and The Contractor could claim a hat-trick. This Time Thief gelding got the run of the race last time over 1450m and made no mistake, staying on strongly from a one out and one back position with cover. He beat a fair sort in Bowie, so could overcome the four point raise he was given and he has already proved he stays the mile. Dark Tide packs a strong finish so can afford to be dropped out from a wide draw. He is ultra consistent but does have a three point raise to contend with for his close second last time. Category Four has shown glimpses of class in the past but is yet to recapture his best form since returning from a five-and-a-half month layoff in March. He should be cherry ripe and is 3.5kg better off with The Contractor for a 1,60 length beating which gives him a winning chance on paper, although he has a tough draw of ten. Nordic Rebel can not be ignored in this line up. Dan The Lad is capable and is interesting stepped up in trip off a competitive merit rating. 

In the last race over 1800m Lyrical Dance makes plenty of appeal despite a wide draw. She finished strongly for second last time over 1600m and although her sire Vercingetorix seems to be a speed influence her dam is by stamina influence Jallad and she herself is a half-brother to Summer Cup winner Liege so she should handle the step up in trip. The improving Queen Bomi looks to be the chief danger but Jive Express, Pun Up, Fire Flower and Veld Flower are not out of it either.

The first leg of the Pick 6 over 1200m should be won by Specially Selected who caught the eye on debut when running on strongly late over this trip after being bumped and losing two lengths at the start. This Duke Of Marmalade colt is out of Grade 3 Prix du Cap winner Cuvee Brut and jumps from a plum draw this time.     

The second leg of the Pick 6 over 1200m is tricky as the three horses with the most form to go on, Voltron, La Fille and Lil Wahoo are no great shakes. It could be fought out by two well-bred first-timers, Toto’s Dream, who is by Duke Of Marmalade out of a full-sister to Grade 3 winner and Grade 1 placed One Fine Day, and Night Lily, who is by Byword and is a half-sister to three-times Grade 1 placed Tierra Del Fuego. 

In the fifth race Quantum King is an interesting debutant as he is a half-brother to the Daily News 2000 contender Kommetdieding. He does not have much to beat on debut as the best of those to have run are the like of South Boy, Right Choice and Gimmethepurplelight. Global Vision can also improve and the other first-timer, Samuel L, is by Jackson out of a Listed placed horse in Zimbabwe so can’t be ignored from draw five.

In the sixth race over 1600m the hard-knocking Indlamu should enjoy the step up in trip and is drawn in pole, but does have to carry topweight. The well-bred Archer’s Girl, by Dynasty out of twice Grade 1-winning Dubawi mare Happy Archer, can progress off a lowly mark of 74 awarded for her workmanlike victory over this trip second time out. Oyster King has turned the corner and goes for a hat-trick so can’t be ignored.    

David Thiselton

The Paul Matchett-trained Wilgerbosdrift Triple Tiara heroine War Of Athena faces the strongest field of her career in the Grade 1 Woolavington 2000 today but she should pass the test.

She is drawn in pole and has her reliable stablemate Only The Brave in the race again to help ensure a suitable pace. 

War Of Athena has a superb turn of foot that she has displayed at the tight Hollywoodbets Greyville turf track when just failing to fetch the classy Anything Goes in the Grade 1 Thekwini over 1600m last year. This time she is not only drawn better but on pedigree this could well be her best trip. This small filly can march on to her sixth win in succession and eighth win of the season.

She does have an acid test however as she has only ever bumped the cream of Johannesburg’s three-year-olds and has not met the best from Cape Town.

Captain’s Ransom might not be in the field but she will still have to see off Princess Calla and Chat Ching. Princess Calla ws runner up to Captain’s Ransom in both the Grade 1 WSB Cape Gillies Guineas but also the Grade 2 WSB Fillies Guineas at Hollywoodbets Greyville recently.

Furthermore, she finished a 2,30 length third in the Grade 1 Cartier Paddock Stakes behind the two stalwarts Queen Supreme and Clouds Unfold and then followed that with a fine fifth place finish in the Cape Town Met.

That was no mean feat for a three-year-old filly especially when considering that three of the horses who beat her have won three Vodacom Durban Julys and two Mets between them. Princess Calla is a progressive sort by Flower Alley so can continue to improve and the only downside is having a tricky draw of five which could be made trickier by the fact that War Of Athena’s pacemaker is drawn two.

The latter could claim the rail early and keep others wide if they try and go to the front or she could slow it down if they drop out, so it has to be said her and her boss, as it were, have landed perfect draws from a tactical point of view. 

Chat Ching was just a length behind Princess Calla in the Paddock Stakes and is better than her last start over 1600m. She is by Duke Of Marmalade, so will be improving, and is a half-sister to the Grade 2 New Turf Carriers Western Cape Stayers (2800m) winner Snapscan (Oratorio) so should relish this step up in trip. 

Netta is also a very interesting runner. She has been beaten comfortably twice by War Of Athena, in the Grade 1 SA Fillies Classic over 1800m and the Grade 2 SA Oaks over 2450m. However, she bolted in by six lengths last time in the Grade 2 Gerald Rosenberg Stakes over the 2000m, so the Woolavington trip looks to be her optimum.

She beat Sparkling Water in the Gerald Rosenberg and the latter was only beaten 4,50 lengths by War Of Athena in the SA Fillies Classic and two lengths in the SA Oaks. On paper that points to Netta being highly progressive.

However, it has to be said War Of Athena was never under any real pressure to win any of the Triple Tiara legs. 

Scented Mistress is the other runner and although consistent she will need a big step up on form to be a threat.

David Thiselton

THE Vaal Classic track holds an eight-race meeting today and the headliner is the seventh, a Progress Plate over 1600m.

Tree Tumbo finished placed in both the Grade 2 Charity Mile and Grade 1 Summer Cup so could hold too many guns here despite carrying top weight. He can be dropped out from a tricky draw before mowing them down.

Bold Jazz, who is a lot better than his last start, is also capable of turning it on over this trip and can take advantage of a good draw. Willow Express has a good draw and could also go close in his bid for a hattrick.

In the first race, a Workriders’ event over 1000m, the first-timer by Elusive Fort, Aurora’s Light, has been priced up as favourite. Elusive Fort was also sire of two of her dam’s siblings and one win in Kimberley was the best return, so on pedigree evidence Aurora Light is up against it. However, Paul Peter-trained first-timers in workrider’s events always have to be respected.

Nevertheless, Abalus ran well second time out over this trip, staying on for second and looks the one to beat. Smelting has enough ability to earn here too. The most interesting runner is Talladega, who is priced up as biggest outsider. She has a lot of pace but tends to fade late. She looked booked for a place on Saturday at Turffontein over 1160m but faded late as usual, so she will relish the step down to this trip. The problem however, is that she tends to jump hesitantly, so it all depends on how much ground she loses at the start. 

The second race over 1000m should see Imitation Game being hard to beat. The Johan Janse van Vuuren-trained first-timers Connection (by Greys Inn out of multiple stakes-race runner up Crystal Glamour (Seventh Rock)) and Constitutional (by Querari and a full-brother to three-times Listed placed Champery) look to be the chief dangers.

In the third race over 1450m, the Irish-bred Sybaris has a fine pedigree, being by Fastnet Rock out of a Galileo mare who is a half-sister to Group 1 winning sire Dutch Art. She only has to beat Ocean’s Pride, still a maiden at the age of six but one who has blossomed this season.

Stormy Weathers looks the one most likely to pick up the pieces if those two fail.

In the fourth over 1450m blinkers should help Grace From Above get to the front and as one who looks the part he could get off the mark. Castle Corner has finished second multiple times and can do so again over a suitable trip in his first run after a layoff. Laird Of Breedon could be in the shake up too.

In the fifth over 2000m, Siren Of Greece is getting the hang of it and could get off the mark at the expense of another hard knocker who has to overcome a wide draw, Sophia’s First.

In the sixth over 1600m Enigma Code has the chance to prove his last few runs were all wrong as he now has a plum draw of two and blinkers could help. He is attractively weighted in this maiden handicap.

However, Passing Shot and Nussply also look to have good chances. Mister Blue Sky should be staying on and Curfew is not out of it either.

In the last race over 1000m, Belle Of Belize flew through late over this trip after a slow start last time and can go one better. Look To The Sky has plenty of pace and over this optimum trip could hold on despite officially being 2.5kg under sufferance with the best weighted horses. Alex The Great, Magic Choice and Love Lies make most appeal of the rest.      

DAVID THISELTON

MATTERHORN (7) is progressive and impressed in his last start in the Grade 2 WSB 1900 when running on strongly for a close second. The conditions of the race did not allow him to be raised in the merit ratings and he otherwise would have copped a ten point raise and carried 5kg more weight in this race.
He is thus well handicapped and, furthermore, is held in high regard by his yard, so he could book his place in the Vodacom Durban July here by winning under Serino Moodley over a trip he enjoys from a fair draw.
SILVER HOST (13) is held in high regard and has proved his ability over staying trips so is an interesting runner in his comeback from a layoff under Richard Fourie and the wide draw should not be too much of a problem as he is capable of running on strongly.
BLACK KNAP (4) looks capable of progressing beyond his current merit rating mark and he should enjoy this course distance from his nice draw. He is by Dynasty whose progeny always enjoy this tight track thanks to their inherited turn of foot.
BAYBERRY (15) is a good looking son of the stamina influence Flower Alley and will be continuing to improve. If it pans out well for him from a wide draw he could be right there.
CROME YELLOW (14) has the ability to be a contender despite carrying 59kg and returning from a layoff although he also has to overcome a tough draw. MARCHINGONTOGETHER (11), last year’s winner, could bounce back to form off a lowered merit rating and warrants consideration.
PATHS OF VICTORY (8) should be cherry ripe to produce his best and, as the winner of the prestigious Gold Cup over 3200m at this course, he must have a shout. BLACKBALL (5) is an enigmatic horse who is capable of producing classy performances but he is not reliable, so he can’t be ignored from a good draw.

INDIVIDUAL HORSE ANALYSIS

1. CATCHAFALLINGSTAR finished a fine third in the Grade 2 New Turf Carriers Western Cape Stayers over 2800m in her penultimate start and although raised five points for that effort she can be a contender here stepping back up in trip after a warm up in the KRA East Cost Cup over 2000m last time.
2. MERLIN FROM BERLIN is an honest sort who carries just 52kg but he is 1.5kg under sufferance so it will be tough.
3. PAYBACKTHEMONEY finished a fine second in last season’s prestigious Grade 3 Gold Cup over 3200m but has only had one run since and might still need this outing.
4. BLACK KNAP finished a good second in the Listed Sledgehammer over 1750m recently and has gone close before over this trip so is an interesting runner carrying just 54kg.
5. BLACKBALL gets a good draw and if recapturing the form of his easy win over 2200m here in December he could feature but he does have to put a poor last run behind him.
6. HOLY WARRIOR has finished a close up second in a Listed race over this trip before but this is his second run after a layoff which might be a concern and he is also 3.5kg under sufferance.
7. MATTERHORN ran to 110 when second last time in the WSB 1900 and owing to the conditions of that race he remains on a 100, so this talented progressive type who has gone close over this course and distance before, looks the one to beat.
8. PATHS OF VICTORY, winner of last season’s Gold Cup, would have needed his last three runs and is an interesting contender.
9. FAVOUR was beaten 1,60 lengths by Matterhorn when they last met over 1950m and is now 4kg better off but will have to improve on his 2400m form.
10. SHARE HOLDER has always been well regarded and has overcome a hoof problem but he looks held by Favour on their meeting over 2200m.
11. MARCHINGONTOGETHER is a talented stayer who won this race last year but he has been disappointing lately and needs to bounce back although he has consequently come down in the merit ratings and champion jockey Warren Kennedy rides.
12. SAINT PHILIP has won his last two over this trip but is 8kg under sufferance so needs a further step up.
13. SILVER HOST was labelled by trainer Justin Snaith “the best stayer in the country” recently and this Listed Ardmore Jamaica Handicap winner and Grade 2 New Turf Carriers Western Cape Stayers (2800m) runner up will be out to prove it here although it is his first run for four months.
14. CROME YELLOW, also having his first outing for four months, is 2.5kg better off with Silver Host for a 2,95 length beating in the Reserve Stayers.
15. BAYBERRY has claims having won the Listed Kenilworth Cup over 3200m and recently running a fine third in the WSB Highland Night Cup with top weight meaning he 5.5kg better off with Saint Philip for a half-a-length beating.