David Thiselton

THE Vaal stages an interesting nine race meeting today and it offers something for both exotic and on-the-nose punters. 

Grappler is made the best of the day and races in the first event over 1000m.

 This Trippi gelding is out of a placed Fort Wood mare who is a half-sister to dual Grade 1 winner Slumdogmillionaire.

Last time in her second start she was not too well away and had a lot of ground to make up at the business end. However, she stayed on strongly and in the end failed by just 0,20 lengths.

Quenetra will be an interesting runner as he finished just 4,50 lengths behind the smart Bartholdi last time over 1160m and the form has worked out well as he had subsequent winner Double Martini and subsequent dual winner Godswood behind him.

The first-timer South Boy should have some speed. He is an Argentinian-bred out of a mare by Grand Slam and the latter finished second in the Breeders’ Cup Sprint. Furthermore, South Boy is by Grade 2-winner over a mile Equal Stripes, who is out of a half-sister to the immortal Empress Club. South Boy is second favourite in the early market.

There is not much between Grappler and Rock The Kazvar on a line through a horse called Sonny Quinn. However, Lazy Guy looks held by Grappler, who beat him by 3,45 lengths last time out. 

In the first leg of the Bi-Pot, Country Mile is selected to beat an uninspiring field despite returning from an eight-month layoff. Sky Kingdom is the danger having improved considerably since dropped down to this minimum trip with blinkers on. Magic Choice ran well over this trip on debut and after disappointing over 1200m he could be a threat back at this trip. 

In the first leg of the PA over 1000m, Lagertha is still a maiden but she proved she is off a competitive mark in her last start over 1200m in a handicap and the form has been franked. She usually runs handy so should enjoy this step down in trip.

Ramsay is in fine form and will also appreciate the step down in trip. The hard-knocking Ice Eater can’t be ignored either as he goes well for claimer Cole Dicken. Saviour beat the like of Captain Morisco and Garden Party the last time he went over this trip so would not be a surprise winner off just a three-point higher mark with Kennedy aboard, although that win was around the turn from pole position. Alex The Great can never be discounted either. 

In the first leg of the Pick 6, Mind Reader defies her small size as she is ultra consistent and can go one better than her last two starts which were both over this 1000m trip.

Cape Town horses often arrive in other provinces well handicapped as their merit ratings become suppressed when finishing unplaced against higher class horses and thus the newcomer Freedom Seeker will be dangerous. Southern Charm could also be in the shake up if repeating her debut. She never looked in danger of defeat that day over this trip and won by over six lengths. She has only ever been tried over this trip once since then and finished less than a length back off a mark four points higher than her current mark.

In the first leg of the Jackpot, Bella Black has shown promise recently and has scope for further improvement. The two form choices to challenge her are Informative and Corvette Captain, although it must be said this leg has the potential for an upset as there are no stand outs.

In the sixth race over 1200m, Harry’s Secret showed ability from day one but had bad luck with draws. When he finally got a good draw in the maidens over 1200m he scooted in by four lengths. His first race out of the maidens was around the turn over 1200m and he got a bad draw again. Now down the straight again and from a fair middle draw he should make his presence felt.

Putin’s Promise is capable of a strong finish if getting cover and so will likely appreciate the step down to this trip. Battle Force always struck as one with ability and scope so now that he is out of the maidens he could progress further. Louis The Seventh has a form chance of placing. Procrastinator has come down to a competitive mark. 

In the seventh over 1400m, Full Mast has been in good form this season and looks the one to side with over a suitable trip. In Cahoots has always had ability and was a 2,10 length second to the talented Vars Vicky last time over 1450m.

Nordic Rebel was just a head further back and they face each other on the same terms. Putontheredlight is an honest sort who is ideally distance suited but he looks held by Full Mast on their last meeting over 1400m. Seven Patriots is capable of stealing a race from the front but he is returning from an 87-day layoff and has to carry topweight.

In the eighth race over 1400m, the talented Bold Jazz won his first handicap start and has subsequently been running in feature races without being disgraced. Back in a handicap he is the one to beat over a suitable trip. Stormy Winter is a resolute galloper who will be dangerous from the front dropped to this trip. Against The Grain could also be involved in the finish.

In the last race, Irish Rain was handy over this course and distance and finished second in his penultimate start. The form suggests he can go one better this time although he could be challenged by Prince Alf and Light Warrior. Nussply and Star Effect can also earn and Enrico Ceccetti is one to consider with Strydom up.  

Andrew Harrison

SNIPER SHOT has come down to a more realistic handicap rating and he can repay his owners for their patience with victory in the Fever Tree Stakes (Non-Black Type) at Hollywoodbets Scottsville on Sunday where punters face another tricky card.

Sniper Shot paid dearly in handicap terms for his win the Gr2 Post Merchants and it has taken all of three years since that victory to see his merit rating drop from a career high of 110 to Sunday’s more realistic 94.

With his rating dropping he has become more competitive and was low-flying when second behind Ad Altisima over 1200m on the Greyville poly last time out.

Against him is that he has yet to win over Sunday’s distance but on the evidence of his last showing, with Anton Marcus up and the benefit of a good draw, Paul Lafferty’s runner should be there when the whips are cracking.

Solid Gold is something of a Scottsville specialist, having scored all of his six wins on the track where his trainer, Michael Roberts, won his first race as a jockey.

Solid Gold has his quirks but has an exemplary record on this course. One can draw a line through his last outing when 15 lengths back to Pearl Of Asia where he was ‘done’ just over a furlong out and Serino Moodley did not persevere once his chances were compromised.

He has pulled a favourable marble and Raymond Danielson takes over in the saddle.

The mare Master Keys is another that the handicappers have taken pity on and she comes into this race with a handy galloping weight in spite of taking on males. She has been up against some smart members of her own sex of late and in the past has not been far off the likes of Pretty Young Thing, Silvano’s Pride and Running Brave at level weights.

If she can find that form, she will be worth an each-way wager.

Priceless Ruler is the best weighted but still has to shoulder top weight and was well beaten by Solid Gold when last they met after being sent out an even money favourite. The soft going that day may have been to blame for his disappointing effort so he cannot be written off lightly.

The national lottery has been described as a wager for the mathematically challenged but without a ticket you do not have a chance.

In horse racing terms, the Pick 6 can be similarly described, but your chances of winning are far greater given that very few punters make random choices.

On the other hand, horses with random form often scupper the majority of Pick 6 hopefuls.

The trick is to identify those races that the possibility of an upset result is most likely.

There are some difficult races on Sunday but there are a couple that many will be banking on to help cut expenses.

Abbey Wood will be a popular banker in the opening leg of the Pick 6. Lezanne Forbes’s filly was a beaten favourite at her last two but may have found her last effort too far at this stage of her career. Over this shorter trip she should go close.

Biggest threat could come from Perfect Display who was narrowly beaten on the poly last outing in just her second start in KZN.

The second leg could develop into a boat-race between Grimaldi and Secret Giver as they look to be the two principal runners given form and draw. Warren Kennedy rides for both trainers but Gavin van Zyl is possibly his loyal option. Include both in your exotics and you should make it through.

It gets a lot more difficult from here on. In the sixth, Clinton Binda makes many successful raids in KZN and Phinda Mzala has consistent Highveld form in useful company. With a 4kg claimer up he should make another bold bid. Brazil Nut tried further last run but has not reached his PE form so far. This may be the race that gets him back on track. Letaba had his consistency rewarded last run and only got a two-pound penalty so can go in again while Quant Master is never far off them and won well last start. He should be right there again.

The eighth has a ‘field’ look about it but Alsflamingbeauty steps up in trip from a good draw and has her third outing back in KZN. She is not the easiest but does have ability.

Jackson Wells, Alfonse Baby, Conchita and Song Of The Forest should all be in the hunt.

Punters face a similar puzzle in the last leg.

Shastina won well on the poly last run but does go well on the turf. She took a big rise in the handicap after her last win but still looks progressive. Connect Me has come down progressively in the ratings and has not been far off in stronger company. With a 4kg claimer up and blinkers on, she could be the surprise package. Futuristic Dame has drawn in Woodhouse Road but shows consistent recent form.

Time To Roll ran a cracker first up out of the maidens at only her second outing and is a must inclusion in all exotic bets.

David Thiselton

David Thiselton 

NATIONAL CHAMPION trainer Sean Tarry is set to bounce back to form at Turffontein Standside on Saturday where he has good chances throughout the nine-race meeting.

Many fans have questioned the current form of the yard and Tarry responded, “I don’t think we have the horses this season but they would have a point. We have been a bit quiet. There has been mucous around for the last couple of months and the tracks with all the rain have not been ideal and I haven’t taken any chances. So we have faced our challenges. However, the mucous problem seems to be clearing and we are hoping we will get going now.”

Tarry starts with Social Image in the second race over 1000m and said, “I think she has a place chance.” It could be argued she is the best contestant of those to have raced as she showed pace on debut and has recorded the fastest time over this trip. However, There She Goes looks the one to beat.

Tarry has a fine chance in the third over 1400m with the long-striding Byword filly Diamonds N Dollars and he confirmed, “She made a fair debut and will improve over the extra.”

He could also win the fourth over 1800m with Maple Sugar.
He said, “Nothing went right for her last time and she will be competitive.”
The Ideal World filly has been expensive to follow but overraced over 1800m last time and should appreciate the step back to 1400m.
In the fifth over 1160m he runs his two Grade 1 sprinters Chimichuri Run and Eden Roc and also Captain And Master.
He said, “Eden Roc beat Chimichuri last time but is worse off now so it all points to Chimichuri.”
Chimichuri Run is 2kg better off with Eden Roc for a 0,40 length beating. However, he does have a low draw, which by trends makes his task tougher, whereas Eden Roc is drawn on the right side.
Tarry said Captain And Master would need the run and added he had healthy respect for the bottom weights in this Pinnacle sprint.
Tarry has a fine chance in the next over 1800m with the talented Flying Carpet. The judpot colt has a tough task on paper as he is officially 6.5kg under sufferance with the best weighted Barahin. However, Flying Carpet has class and has not had many opportunities yet to prove how good he is. With 2.5kg claimer Joshwin Solomons aboard he will be carrying just 47.5kg of actual weight. He should enjoy the step up in trip to 1800m and can fight it out with Barahin.

Tarry said, “If Flying Carpet equips himself well I will consider running him in the SA Classic.”

Tarry’s other runner in the 6th race, Cornish Pomodoro, also has a shout.

He said, “The soft going didn’t suit him last time.”

The 7th race is the Non-Black Type  Egoli Mile and Tarry is strong-handed again with Shah Akbar and Invincible Warrior.

He said, “Shah Akbar is better than his last run and I don’t think this will be too sharp. This is a stepping stone to the SA Classic. At the weights Invincible Warrior is not out of it either.”  
Tarry has a good chance in the eighth with Seehaam and said, “She is a nice filly and has that come on look so will be a decent runner. It is her second run after a rest but there has been a big gap from the comeback to this race so it won’t be an issue.”

In the last race Tarry has a chance with Senescence. He confirmed, “She beat a very weak field last time but could not have done more.”

Senescence in fact caught the eye with the manner of that easy win and off a lowly 62 merit rating carries just 53kg minus the 2.5kg claim of Solomons.

Tarry will be hoping for improvement from Encore in this race.

The meeting could mark the turning point for the Champion Trainer.

David Thiselton

PUNTERS can have a good time of it at the Vaal straight course today as there look to be some fair opportunities.

In the first race over 1200m, Ace Of Spade has shown pace in both starts before tiring late and should now be cherry-ripe to deliver. Deanagelo will be a big threat as an improving sort who is capable of finishing strongly from 1200m up to 1450m. Fasinada ran a fair third on debut and could also earn. Freezing Fast beat Ace Of Spades when the latter made his debut but is exposed and this will be his 20th start. Fluorescet is another who could be in the shake up.

In the second over 1200m, the first-timer Meeneera makes appeal in an uninspiring field. He is by Dynasty and is a half-brother to the five-time winning Vercingetorix gelding Marshall, who produced his best when dropped back to this trip. Future Lady has run three good races and should make a bold bid again. Bat Out Of Hell has run two fair places and should earn again.

The first leg of The Pick 6 is an uninspiring contest and Mirren makes appeal as she has run some fair races over a mile and should relish the step up in trip being by middle distance sort Mambo In Seattle out of a Fahal mare who won up to 2400m. Wishonaire is a long-time maiden but has placed the last three times she has run over this trip and she is drawn in pole. Wedding Bliss and Electric Boots should enjoy the step up in trip.  Irish Willow has finished second in her last two starts over 1400 and 1450m respectively. She tries further and being by Linngari, who won over this trip, and a half-sister to Silver Talewho has won over 1950m, she could get it although on the downside her tried and tested full sister Linnbara seems best at around a mile.

In the fourth race over 2000m, Fast Draw looks ideally distance suited and is well drawn. Soldier’s Song has placed in her last two over 1800m and the form has looked strong and the closest finish she has had to date was over this trip. Orus Apollo appears to be looking for this trip so can stay on into the money. Mister Blue Sky and Forest Phoenix have also shown enough ability to be threats.

In the fifth race over 1200m, Persica has a fine turn of foot and if it pans out well for her, i.e she finds cover, she can make a bold bid to mow them down. Brooklyn Bridge is knocking on the door and enjoyed the step down to this trip last time. Afternoon Tea is a fascinating runner because if she retains the sprinting ability that saw her finish just 2,85 lengths back in the Grade 1 Allan Robertson she will be hard to beat off just a 75 merit rating. She has not run over this trip since the Allan Robertson so could represent good value. It is wide open beyond those three, but Samoa, Flower Of Scotland and Twelve Oaks make most appeal.

In the sixth race over 1200m, Forever Mine has looked to be a sprinter in his last two over further as he has a lot of speed. He should appreciate the step down to this trip and receives 3kg weight from MK’S Pride. The latter also has speed and class and Tropic Sun has plenty of ability so will be dangerous getting weight from Forever Mine. 

In the seventh over 1200m, Spanish Boy should relish the step up to 1200m after a fine effort over the too sharp minimum trip last time. Sea Virescent looks to have speed and class and headline jockey S’Manga Khumalo is aboard. Those two make most appeal in a race where just about the whole field could pick up the pieces if they fluff their lines. 

In the last race over 1200m it is a similar story with Dogliotti and Louis The Seventh being the two form choices but plenty of others capable of picking up the pieces. Father Time is an interesting runner dropped to the distance of his only win and having showed pace since coming back from a long layoff. 

David Thiselton

JUSTIN SNAITH has made no secret of Gatekeeper being his Vodacom Durban July horse this season and thus one of his chief concerns ahead of Saturday week’s Grade 1 Jonsson Workwear Cape Derby is his merit rating.

He also sent out a message on behalf of Captain’s Ransom to the Highveld saying. “I am not in the slightest bit scared of War Of Athena.”

He said about the three-year-old colt Gatekeeper, who is a full brother to his first July winner Legislate and who is owned by the Cape Derby’s new sponsor Nick Jonsson, “He is a very special horse and I would not be doing all this planning if that was not the case. We will do everything to protect his rating even if it means having to appeal. The concern is the merit rating leaps a three-year-old can take, for example if he wins the Derby he goes to 120 then if he wins the Daily News he goes to a 125.”

Snaith said he would see what Gatekeeper’s rating was after the Cape Derby before deciding which further route he would take in to the July.

The highest rated horse July-bound horse in the country at present is Rainbow Bridge on 134, so The Gatekeeper would have to be rated higher than 124 to carry more than the minimum weight of 53kg for a three-year-old male. He is unlikely to get more than 120 for winning the Derby as the highest rated horse among the entries is Kommetdieding on 117. 

Snaith said The Gatekeeper, who ran a 2,05 length fifth in the Grade 1 Cape Guineas last time out, was “very well” and added, “He is immature and if they don’t beat him in the Derby they are not going to beat him in four months time in the Daily News.”

Snaith also runs Hoedspruit in the Cape Derby.

He said, “He is doing very well at home but is losing his races because he is always too far back. He is finishing three to five lengths back and needs to up his game so I am pushing the envelope with him to see if we can close that gap. The mile to 1800m might have been too short too so we’re hoping he will be a nice horse over 2000m and run into the money.”

Snaith believes Jonsson Workwear Cape Derby day is on its way to joining the Cape Town Met and L’Ormarins Queen’s Plate Racing Festival as a high status Cape Town racing event. 

He said, “It is the fastest growing race day, there are new sponsors and a lot is being poured into it and it will also be great to be able to have the owners back on course for the day. Everything I am doing at present is with that day in mind so punters must follow our yard on the day.”

One of the innovations for the day is the R160,000 Khaya Stables Workriders vs Jockeys Championship Maiden over 1200m where for the first time in South African history workriders will race against jockeys. The seven jockeys and seven workriders on the top of the respective Cape Jockeys log and Cape Workriders log will each ride as a team. The team which gathers the most points will be presented with a trophy.

Meanwhile, Snaith’s three-year-old filly Dazzling Sun, who is owned by Michael De Broglio, is on her way to race in America.

She faces an arduous journey as the equine export protocols have not changed.

If it was not for those protocols Snaith would have liked to have seen his star filly Captain’s Ransom racing in either America or France.

Instead, she will be heading for the SA Champions Season where the WSB Fillies Guineas and Jonsson Workwear Garden Province Stakes will be her obvious aims. Snaith said miler types like her are capable of winning the Grade 1 Woolavington 2000 so that might be an option in between those two events.

Captain’s Ransom is rated 126 compared to the 122 of War Of Athena but Snaith said, “She is very good and I’m not in the slightest bit scared of War Of Athena. When I said this three-year-old Cape Town crop is very, very strong this year people said ‘agh there he is blah blah overrating his horses again’ but I meant it and it has shown. Malmoos proved it over the weekend and he was lucky to win a race here as a lot of the opposition were still maturing.”

Meanwhile Do It Again, who loves KZN, has already been transported here and is resting on a farm. He will come in to Summerveld to begin training in the next couple of weeks.

Snaith said, “His rating has come down which gives him a chance in the July. He loves light tracks and we were never able to get the tracks light enough for him here during the Summer.”

Snaith faces a problem with his top sprinter Kasimir every winter because the first of the Grade 1 SA Champions Season sprints, the Golden Horse Sprint, is a handicap and he has to carry a big weight and the second one, the Mercury Sprint, is around the turn at Hollywoodbets Greyville and he invariably draws wide.