Aware of the pace
PUBLISHED: August 21, 2015
A closer look at a bumper ten race card at Greyville on Sunday….
Greyville stages a ten race meeting on the poly on Sunday and punters look to have some fair chances of earning some grocery money.
The first race starts at midday and Swakopmund cost himself last time by tearing away into a big lead and fading at Scottsville. He is the one to beat if he settles under a more conservative ride. Y’retheone was backed on debut and was bumped around at the start before running green and wide, so he could improve. Las Arenas has run one or two fair races in stronger fields and could earn. Lord Luton and Silver Green make most appeal of the rest.
In the second race over 1000m Grand Fantasy ran well last time and makes most appeal in this weak race. Masked Girl is consistently placed and might enjoy the step down in trip considering she appears to have breathing issues.
In the third over 1400m Joshua’s Answer improved last time over course and distance when slow away and running on well, despite over racing at one stage, and the form has been franked. Omega Onslaught has been thereabouts in both of his starts when handy or leading over 1200m. Leroy ran a fair race last time out and Keagan de Melo stays aboard from a better draw.
In the fourth over 1400m the hard knocking Seek The Summit could finally get it right in an uninspiring field with Anton Marcus up. Su Pa Suta has improved since being stepped down to this trip. Topaz Rain should also earn in this field. Ravishing Lilly is distance suited and could earn if producing her best. Swan Dance has gone off form since beating Seek The Summit a few runs ago over this distance at Scottsville and the latter has exacted revenge since then on one occasion.
In the fifth over 1400m Dutch Harbor has gone close here before over 1200m and last time out over this trip at Turffontein he showed excellent pace and was staying on before being swamped by some good horses. Beluga has been a touch disappointing but on pedigree should be suited to this step up in trip. Man The Fort was backed on debut but after showing fair pace he found nothing in the finish.
In the sixth over 1400m Roy Royale is the one to beat over a suitable course and distance from a good draw having come down to a nice merit rating. Lucky Break is course and distance suited and is also off a competitive merit rating, so should be thereabouts despite a wide draw. Mackdesi ran a cracker over course and distance on Super Saturday and now has a 4kg claimer up.
The consistent Salesman must have a shout but would probably prefer 1200m. Nitro Nori is eight-years-old and is on his highest ever merit rating but has always had the potential to live up to such a rating and has found consistency lately. Ho’oponopono is full of ability but is an unsound horse returning from a layoff over a trip he has never tried before. Supreme Power could earn over this suitable course and distance.
In the seventh over 1000m Panchatanta will likely attempt to make all and could well do so. However Aware is tipped to win despite being five points higher in the merit ratings from his last win as he should relish sitting behind a likely strong pace. Var’s Dream proved himself a fair sort last time when slow away and going close over 1000m at Scottsville in his first run out of the maidens off a merit rating of 83. Fire The Rocket and All True Man make most appeal of the rest.
In the eighth, a Novice Plate over 1600m, Translunar has been transformed since wearing blinkers and can go one better than his last three runs. Exit Here finished second to the top class Rabada in a Listed race before winning his maiden easily over 1400m on the poly and he will be a big runner too. Entrée is course and distance suited and well drawn.
Royal Union Jet impressed in his maiden win over 1400m at Scottsville and being by Jet Master is likely to relish the poly. Variety Romp is having just his second career start despite being five-years-old and will likely try and dominate from the off again, but would probably prefer further.
In the ninth over 1600m London Olympics has dropped to a competitive merit rating and jumps from pole position over a suitable course and distance. Chennai Babe went close in her Greyville poly debut over 1400m and on pedigree should enjoy the step up in trip.
Lady Lago won her maiden when stepped up to this course and distance but at the weights doesn’t have it easy being a young three-year-old. Fashion Wear won well at Scottsville last time in her third run after a rest but has to handle a seven point raise. Guest El Grande has the ability to win this if things go her way.
The tenth could go to the consistent Finding Neverland who is three points higher than her last win but now has Anton Marcus aboard over a suitable 1600m.
By David Thiselton
Acapulco attempts the Nunthorpe
PUBLISHED: August 20, 2015
Acapulco attempts to become another two-year-old winner of the Nunthorpe…
The strapping Wesley Ward-trained American filly Acapulco, who was highly impressive when winning the Gr 2 Queen Mary Stakes over five furlongs at the Royal Ascot meeting in just her second career start, will attempt to become the third two-year-old in the last 25 years to win the Gr 1 weight for age Coolmore Nunthorpe Stakes over five furlongs at York tomorrow (Friday) and has been priced up as the 6/4 favourite with William Hill.
Legendary South African jockey Michael Roberts won the race on the two-year-old Richard Hannon-trained filly Lyric Fantasy in 1992.
Roberts recalled, “She was only two bricks and a tickey high, she was so small I could actually sit in the saddle and touch her ears, but she was very quick and I just sat off the pace and let them cut throats in front. I remember the owner Lord Carnarvon, who was the Queen’s racing manager, telling me that he had always told Sir Gordon Richards that no rider was allowed to ride any of his horses more than one pound overweight. I said ‘Thankyou Sir’ but still had to do a lot of wasting to make the weight!”
Roberts eventually did indeed ride the horse one pound overweight the carded 7 stone 7 pounds (about 47,5kg).
Due to the weight for age scale, which has only undergone minor alterations since formulated by Admiral Henry John Rous in 1860, Acapulco as a two-year-old filly will also be receiving a massive 27 pounds from older males, 25 pounds from three-year-old males and 24 pounds from the older females. However, as the weights are set higher across the board these days she will have to carry 7 stone 12 pounds (about 50kg).
The USA-bred Acapulco is by Scat Daddy (Johannesburg), who was the USA champion first season sire in 2011. Fittingly Scat Daddy is a Coolmore-owned sire and Acapulco is owned by the Coolmore partners Derrick Smith, John Magnier and Michael Tabor. Acapulco, unlike Lyric Fantasy, is an imposing “monster” who looks more like a four-year-old. However, she has tremendous speed and dominated the Queen Mary in the same way Lyric Fantasy did 23 years earlier to win impressively by 1,5 lengths (Lyric Fantasy won it by five).
Acapulco only ran once in the USA before flying over for the Queen Mary and she could only manage a 7,75 length third over 4,5 furlongs at Churchill Downs, but clearly needed it as she was rushed into the lead before fading. The defeat didn’t stop her from starting 5/2 favourite in the 20 horse field in the Queen Mary and duly converting those odds under the brilliant Ryan Moore. Ward took Acapulco back to the USA after Royal Ascot and she has been flown back in for the Nunthorpe. He had hoped Hall Of Fame jockey John Velazquez would take the ride, but he was unavailable, so another top class lightweight rider, the up and coming Puerto Rican 23-year-old youngster Irad Ortiz, has reportedly been engaged although he is yet to be declared.
Ward was lyrical about Acapulco’s preparation and said, ““Her coat is in amazing condition. She looks like a leopard, all dappled out and with spots everywhere. She is still doing some sensational breezes, just as she was before Ascot. She is doing everything right. I’m so excited. This would trump everything else I’ve achieved in racing, even at Ascot. To race a two-year-old against older horses is something that would never be contemplated in the States. People don’t believe it’s possible when I tell them what we’re planning. I’ve never felt I’ve had the right horse to do it in the past. This time I do have the right horse.”
The second favourite for the Nunthorpe at 5/1 with William Hill is the William Haggas-trained Muthmir, who finished a narrow third in the Gr 1 King’s Stand Stakes over five furlongs at Royal Ascot before being well beaten in the Gr 1 July Cup over six furlongs at Newmarket and then winning the Gr 2 King George Stakes over five furlongs at Goodwood.
The amazing Edward Lynam-trained five-time Gr 1-winning eight-year-old Sole Power, who won the Nunthorpe at odds of 100/1 as a three-year-old in 2010 and won it again as 11/4 favourite last year, is the third favourite at 6/1.
Muthmir will be ridden by Paul Hanagan and Sole Power, who was fifth in the King’s Stand and fourth in the July Cup, will have Frankie Dettori aboard as his regular rider Richard Hughes retired from the saddle after the Glorious Goodwood meeting in order to prepare for his new career as a trainer.
The first two-year-old to win the Nunthorpe was High Treason in 1953 and the last one to do it was Kingsgate Native in 2007. The race is littered with famous names, including “the flying filly” Mumtaz Mahal (1924), the great Abernant (1949,1950), Sharpo (who became the second horse to win the race three times (1980-1982), the filly Habibti (1983) and Dayjur (1990).
The race will be shown live on Tellytrack at 16h20 South African time tomorrow.
By David Thiselton
Flirt early with Fortune
PUBLISHED: August 20, 2015
Punters may have some opportunities at the Vaal today…
The Vaal stages an eight race meeting on the sand today and there could be one or two opportunities for punters.
In the first race She’s A Flirt is by Announce, whose progeny love the sand, and she duly went close on her sand debut over this course and distance when staying all the way to the line. Andrew Fortune rides and she is selected despite quite a wide draw.
Mystify Me caught the eye on debut over 1000m when running on after a slow start and probably has more scope than She’s A Flirt, but this is her first start around the turn and she will need to jump on terms. She has the advantage of an accomplished 1,5kg claimer aboard and is well drawn. Buddy’s Falcon could be in the money and others to consider are Love Tryst and River Empress.
The second is an intriguing Pinnacle Stakes event over 1600m. Ahlaam appears to have come into his own considering his last start when winning unextended over course and distance by four lengths despite jumping from a wide draw. This appears to be his optimum trip and draw six will allow him to employ his favoured front-running tactics.
However, the concern is that Lavender Landscape drawn two outside of him also enjoys running from the front, so the race could set up nicely for Solar Triptych, who could sit in behind them and pounce under Fortune. Prince Of Orange, who has faced the best on turf without being disgraced and has won the sand before, could also go close. He is well drawn with Anton Marcus up and is selected to run second with Ahlaam third and they could be followed by Killua Castle and Capricorn Ridge, who was unlucky at Flamingo Park last time.
The third is a weak maiden over 1600m. The temperamental Rose Of Castille could be calmer in the fine hands of Andrew Fortune and will see out the trip. Pride In Battle looks to be a sand specialist who should be right there, although she would probably prefer slightly shorter. Susquehanna ran quite well second time on the sand over 1800m and could also be considered along with Sweet On You and Eastside.
In the fourth over 1600m, topweight Cristal Arrow has come three points down the merit ratings and faces a much weaker field than in her last two. She is also well drawn. Polar Secret is course and distance suited and wasn’t disgraced in a stronger race last time out over the too far 1800m. Madame Alexis disappointed over 1200m last time but will appreciate the step up in trip. Pearlware, Knock Knock, Arabian Arrow, Embrasiatic and Nkomo make most appeal of the rest.
The fifth is a maiden over 1450m. Racing Red should improve over this distance and could be the one to side with from a good draw. Blue Blazer ran a good race last time over course and distance from a similar draw and Ian Sturgeon remains aboard. De La Vere is by Sarge, whose progeny go well on the sand, and he could improve on his reasonable turf form. Pera Hur has Strydom up from a good draw and on best form should be a contender. Mystic Realm stayed on well over course and distance last time and is now better drawn.
Marsden could do well if repeating his best run over course and distance. Roving Jet did well on the turf last time over this trip, but Jet Masters don’t appear to enjoy the Vaal sand and Roving Jet’s only start on the surface was duly poor. De Lujo’s sire is Ravishing, who is by Jet Master, which makes his suitability to this surface questionable.
In the sixth over 1000m, Brigtnumberfour has ability and is the one to beat over a suitable course and distance. Wishful Heart ran a good race last time over course and distance in a strong field, despite losing a length, and now has Strydom up. The speedy Battle Of Alma can never be ignored over course and distance but is five points higher in the merit ratings after his last win. Call Kelly is a solid sort who can always be relied on. There is plenty of pace in the race and it could pan out well for Gems A Plenty, so he has to be considered.
In the seventh over 1000m Nomvula is interesting dropped back to this trip and has the class to win. Ballerini has been thereabouts against some fair sorts and should be right there. Lizzie’s Legs is off an attractive merit rating. Defining Looks bounced back with an easy win over 1200m last time and could be a runner with Fortune up. Strydom remains faithful to easy turf winner A Million Dreams, but for a young three-year-old he has a tough task off a merit rating of 82. Star Empress actually has Ballerini beaten on their last meeting over course and distance, but is inconsistent. Slick Deputy is off an attractive merit rating and could earn.
In the last over 1800m Commodore Al will attempt to make it two wins from two starts over course and distance and the handicapper hasn’t been harsh on him. Big Shot looks to be an improving sort and will be course and distance suited. Escudo was staying on well last time over 1600m behind the much improved Walking On Air. There is not much between Colonel Rockjaw and Commodore Al. Lord Windsor stayed on well to win his penultimate over 1600m here, so should enjoy the step up in trip.
By David Thiselton
Picture: Andrew Fortune
First stop Mauritius
PUBLISHED: August 20, 2015
Mike de Kock’s small contingent is doing well in Mauritius, their first stop to Dubai…
Five top runners destined for the Dubai Carnival in 2016 are presently based in Mauritius on their way to the UAE.
Ertijaal, Al Mashooqa, Tellina, Liquid Mercury and Mutamakkin will be in quarantine on the island until 3 November when they will be shipped to Newmarket, UK, for another stint in quarantine before they travel to Dubai.
A sixth, Majmu, has been earmarked for Shadwell Stud in the UK, she is also holidaying in Mauritius with her stablemates.
Mike de Kock, recently back from Mauritius, reported on Wednesday that his small 2016 contingent is doing very well in the Mauritius sun. He said: “The facilities are very good, we’ve gone via the same quarantine base that Soft Falling Rain and Variety Club travelled through previously. There is an exercise track and a walker, Declan Cronin is overseeing their stint on the island and they’re all in excellent shape.”
He commented on individual horses, saying: “Ertijaal is bred for sand, we’re confident he’ll take to the Dubai track and fulfil his potential. Mutamakkin is a solid horse, perhaps better than his rating and Al Mashooqa too is the type we expect to improve in Dubai.
“Liquid Mercury is a smart sort. He was purchased for the stable from Joey Ramsden’s yard by Sheikh Mohammed bin Khalifa Al Maktoum, while Tellina was given to us for this campaign by Dr Andreas Jacobs.”
De Kock added that Mubtaahij was another one who is enjoying his rest and finds himself in super condition at Newmarket, where in due course he will be joined by the new jet-setters from South Africa.
- Mikedekockracing.com
Picture: Tellina (JC Photos)
Bass condition improves
PUBLISHED: August 19, 2015
Positive update from the Bass camp…
Mike Bass’s condition is showing slight signs of improvement although he remains in intensive care in a Cape Town Hospital.
Rodney was given an emotional reception after the Bass-trained gelding won the Place Your Bets Maiden at Kenilworth yesterday and rider Grant van Niekerk said: “I wanted to win this for Mr Bass. Everyone knows how ill he is but thank God he is coming along the right way.”
Bass’s daughter Candice said that the initial prognosis had been poor but added: “He is now stable and there is a bit of improvement. We are not out of the woods yet but the doctors are a lot more positive.”
– Michael Clower