Tis’ the season of favourites and bombs

PUBLISHED: 12 September 2020

ANDREW HARRISON
so var
The Gavin van Zyl-trained SO VAR runs in the SOCCER 6 MR 88 HANDICAP at Hollywoodbets Scottsville today. Picture: Candiese Lenferna

ANDREW HARRISON

CHRISTMAS is some months away but tis’ the season of favourites and bombs. With Champions Season behind us, lowly merit rated handicaps are not the easiest even on a good day.

So Var starts for his fortieth race and although only collecting five wins on the way. So Var has shown his best recent form on the poly but he is in good heart and should run a decent race at Hollywoodbets Scottsville tomorrow.

The diminutive Winter Blues is a Louis Goosen stable favourite because he is all heart and seldom gives less than his best. Tomorrow, he is over his best course and distance and cannot be written off.

An interesting runner is Gavin van Zyl’s runner Greenlighttoheaven. Van Zyl has three runners in the race and one would normally assume that Dancing Feather, with stable rider and reigning national champion Warren Kennedy in the saddle, is the stable elect.

The filly may still be the stable number one as she looks seriously talented, but her best form has been over a mile and given the quality of this field, the 1000m-dash could be on the sharp side.

That said, she is loaded with class and cannot be written off lightly.

Stable companion Greenlighttoheaven is lightly raced, but he won smoothly on debut before taking on feature company at his next two. He was probably outclassed in both outings and he’s in another tough one. But he does have a 4kg claimer up and if he can reproduce his debut win, he could be the surprise package.

The Dennis Drier yard is seldom quiet for long and it has been showing signs of returning to top form after a quiet spell of late. But as Drier has said on many occasions, if you don’t have the horses you are always going to struggle no matter how good a trainer you are.

Drier is one of the most respected trainers in the sport and as a result is seldom short of a decent horse or three.

Maiden’s Prayer has had two runs back since returning from the Cape so should strip at her peak and could be good enough to put this field to bed in the seventh. But it is another competitive handicap and if Maiden’s Prayer does not run up to expectations then the que behind her is a long one. Arianos Shadow is over her best distance and showed up well at her last two for Yogas Govender and the Wendy Whitehead-trained Twice As Smart is useful and from a good draw should be thereabouts again.

The regally bred Sanskrift, full sister to champion sire Silvano, enhanced her paddock value enormously by winning her last two over course and distance but it is debatable that she can make it three, even though she only got a two-point raise in the handicap.

This is her first run for her new stable.

Those punters looking to bolster their punting wallets before the exotics may look to Lord Wylie in the card opener as he has improved with each outing and was close-up behind the much-vaunted Hail Columbia last time out. However, there are plenty of first timers in the race so one is never quite sure what you are up against and it may prove prudent to hedge on the side of caution.

 Hawker Typhoon, although nearly surprising on debut when starting at long odds, could be the right one the second and a repeat of her first effort should see her in the firing line again. Irish Belle looks held by a number of her rivals given her debut form but she raced very green on debut when jumping from a difficult draw. She is sure to have come on from that effort and is one to watch in the market.