It’s that time of the year again, you know, when pagans, mad dogs, Englishmen and Druids gather at Stonehenge – a circle of stones which served as a sundial – to greet the summer solstice. While other dudes, equally colourfully attired, gathered on a farm in Glastonbury to listen to music. In our country it’s midwinter so colds and flu abound, but a certain non-medical or spiritually- inspired fever begins to spread, and on the east coast it is not just about sardines. Soon the entire country is affected by the seemingly irresistible urge to splurge by having their annual flutter. Those afflicted are perhaps best described as flutter punters.
Yes it is July fever and it reaches fever pitch – what else – on the first Saturday every July. The Vodacom Durban July is a handicap in which the older and usually better horses carry more weight than the younger and fairer colts and fillies, thus every horse has a chance of winning. Imagine Usain Bolt having to give say five metres start to Wade van Niekerk. So picking a lucky number or liking the name of a horse is a good enough reason to have a flutter, especially as the tote –TAB outlets – will pay out on any horse which finishes in the first six. The other consideration is that your choice may well be unfancied by the bookmakers and regular losers, I mean punters, and will therefore pay more than a well-backed horse.
Black Arthur (Nkosi Hlophe)
So it is a case of paying your money and tata ma chance, so don’t miss out on office or family draws. No ticket no chance.
For those who want a little guidance and subscribe to the axiom that a shorter priced winner is better than a longer priced loser, here are some pointers. At last Thursday’s gallops, four horses stood out for me, and each of them shortened in the betting the next day: Number 11 – at the tote you bet on a number not the name – Black Arthur, who galloped very strongly; Number 7, The Conglomerate, who won this race last year, and carries less weight this year; Number 8, It’s My Turn, who has come in under the radar by not winning of late; and Number 11, Ten Gun Salute – an army term I am told to describe a half-cocked Twenty One Gun Salute – who won very impressively recently, is trained by Duncan Howells at Ashburton, and was well ridden in the gallops by work rider Kospendule Hlongwe. His big race jockey, Muzi Yeni, will fly in from Mauritius to ride him on Saturday.
It is Hobson’s choice, and I may have inadvertently given you the four numbers for the quartet – if you box 7,8,9 and 11 for R24, and IF they make up the first past the post, Eureka, Mayebabo, Holy Cow whatever, you will win a portion of the estimated R11 million which will be wagered on the quartet alone. But back to who will win? Well last year, to the amazement of family and those who know that I follow jockey Piere “Striker” Strydom, I did not back him on The Conglomerate, as he had an outside draw to overcome – and I had scrambled eggs on my face when he sailed home. Incredulously I had doubted the ability of a maestro who has ridden more than 5,000 winners, and who this season, despite not riding for a leading stable, has ridden more than 100 winners – every fifth horse he rides wins! So, in an open July with no clear Colorado King or Sea Cottage, or favourite, my two cents will be on It’s My Turn and “Striker”.
For flutter punters, who have as much chance of backing the winner as the experts, may I suggest that the four horses I have mentioned are good win and place options. For example, a R20 Win and a R20 Place bet on any one of them, could in the case of Black Arthur and It’s My Turn yield a win of around R120, whereas the same bet on The Conglomerate or Ten Gun Salute, would, if they win, yield around R200. Furthermore, if any of these four run into the first 6, you may well get your R40 layout back. As some say, easy game. Moreover, a small wager makes the race so much more exciting, and it only happens once a year.
By Rob Haswell
