David Thiselton
Turffontein Inside stages an intriguing nine race meeting today, which will offer opportunities for both exotic and on the nose punters.
The highest rated race at the meeting is the seventh, a MR 94 Handicap for fillies and mares over 1450m, and Andi’s Girl is a stand out selection on form. She has run over this course and distance in her last two starts and finished a 2,25 lengths second to Back In Business and a head second to Fiery Pegasus. Both of the latter are looking to be top class and she actually gave the year younger, but 12 point higher rated Fiery Pegasus 3kg in the latter race. She also has pole position and in form Gavin Lerena aboard. The progressive Across The Pond represents the in form combination of St. John Gray and Muzi Yeni and jumps from a good draw of five. Gray has had 15 wins this season at a strike rate of 16.48%, but Yeni has been aboard for every single one of those 15 wins so their strike rate together is very high indeed. Across The Pond will be a threat and the risk averse should include him in the Pick 6. Duenna loves this course and distance and could also have a say from a fair draw of six.
In the first leg of the Pick 6 over 1000m Basingstoke won her maiden over 1000m from start to finish in fluent fashion and from pole position could follow up. She is a banker possibility, although giving the in form seven-year-old mare Twice As Wild 7kg won’t be easy and the latter has a low enough draw of six to make her good early pace effective. Smelting beat Twice As Wild last time, albeit with a 4kg claimer up, and she is only two points higher so could make her presence felt.
The second leg is over 1000m too and Arilena is on the up and tipped to make it three successive turf wins. She did have a run on the Hollywoodbets Greyville poly in between those two wins that can be ignored as she won with ease on either side of that run over 1000m and 1200m respectively. However, she does have a tricky draw of seven and a merit rating raise of five to overcome. Therefore, Autumn Var and Stroopsoet might be worth including. Autumn Var will enjoy the step back to 1000m and has a plum draw and Stroopsoet showed big improvement last time to win her maiden, but she does have a tricky draw to overcome.
In the sixth race over 1000m Poblano looks to be promising after running on strongly down the wrong side of the track to win on debut, but she does have an 87 merit rating to deal with. Bosum Buddy has run some fine races against decent opposition and should be in the shake up from a plum draw. Nettleton has a six point raise to deal with, but might have come on a bit from that last win, although her draw of five out of eight is tricky. Valieva has not been disgraced against top sorts and won her maiden with authority, so can also be considered despite a tricky draw of six. Green Flash has ability and is suited to the minimum trip so also has to be considered from draw three with Lerena up.
In the eighth race over 1450m Alphabetty is well drawn and off a competitive merit rating might make her presence felt over this step down in trip. Queen Of Love hasn’t run since winning her maiden easily back in May but is drawn well over a suitable trip, albeit off a tough 88 merit rating. Future Date should be in the shake up if repeating her last run. She has a tricky draw but Yeni is up. Shampimpi is capable of earning here. Say It Loud could also improve and from pole position has to be considered.
In the last race over 1450m Palace Dancer has some good form and should take to the step up in trip from a good draw under Gavin Lerena. Oxalis Gold disappointed first time out the maidens over this course and distance but she was returning from a layoff and drifted significantly in the betting. The form of that race has been franked and she is now drawn in pole. Princess Lola has shown ability and should now have a chance of staying this trip. Princess Iliara is consistent and well draw and has a definite form chance. Courageous has always been well regarded and could pop up.
In the first leg of the PA Birthright is a big, scopey sort and from a good draw has a good chance over a suitable 1800m trip. Hazlo Grande showed the potential he had always promised last time and Eiger Sanction has been in devastating form since the blinkers have been removed and might make it five in a row.
In the first leg of the Bipot Guy Alexander and Callaburn could fight it out.
In the first race Panning Gold will need to bounce back from a below par run. He runs over a step up in trip that he should easily get on pedigree, but he has not been tried over it before and fading over 1600m last time does not augur well, although he was caught wide without cover which probably explains it. The Merciful ran well last time but it was a maiden handicap and this will be tougher. Yojimbo has the form to be a contender but it is his first run for three-and-a-half months.